rivomarkets

Stats as of

preferred.llama6130

-$3.5K
Tracked Trades
646
First Seen
May 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In NBA
19% won ยท 26 settled ยท +$7.6K

preferred.llama6130 is a Kalshi trader with 646 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 237 losses on settled markets, -$3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VXKX2TCE4ZFIEHKK-RZODEBUWP on Oct 15.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
-8%
Money traded
$84.8K
Typical trade
$27
Avg entry
5ยข
Kalshi rank
#5,465

Profit over time

+$9.9K-$5.4K
May 12Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข4258%14%+5 pts
20 to 40ยข15328%28%+0 pts
40 to 60ยข6147%29%-18 pts
60 to 80ยข766%20%-46 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $516215%-$43
$5 to $2816219%-$375
$28 to $9416126%+$4.9K
$94 to $13K16120%-$8.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1669%-$998
Baseball22314%-$8.6K
Tennis19536%+$1.1K
Hockey850%-$699
NBA2619%+$7.6K
Soccer50%-$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 98%2% No

If you had copied preferred.llama6130

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6293
Profit
on $10200 staked
25-77
Record
25% win rate
+62%
Return
83 still open
Profit over time102 settled trades
+$8.3K-$400
Jul 20Oct 12
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
30% below peak
2.3ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.82ร—
Profit factor
$14.0K won vs $7.7K lost
+8.9 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 16ยข avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
35 trades

By category

sports102 settled+62%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

63 open positions worth $6.4K

The markets preferred.llama6130 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what preferred.llama6130 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VXKX2TCE4ZFIEHKK-RZODEBUWP
Oct 15
Sold Nosold 68ยข$3.0KExited
yes William Contreras: 1+,no Los Angeles D wins by over 2.5 runs,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes AJ Barner: 15+,no Denver wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 36.5 points,no Dallas wins by over 1.5 goals,no Washington wins by over 1.5 goals,no Over 7.5 goals scored,yes Over 5.5 goals scored
Oct 14
Yes3ยข$140-$140
no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Colorado,no Washington wins by over 1.5 goals,no Over 6.5 goals scored,yes Over 5.5 goals scored
Oct 14
Yes6ยข$47-$47
See every position across 236 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $943 on Yes at 13ยข, Jun 11
    +$6.3K
  2. 2
    Will Matteo Arnaldi win the Tiafoe vs Arnaldi: Round Of 16 match?
    $94 on Yes at 3ยข, Jun 1
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    Game 1: Vegas at Carolina Winner?
    $1.3K on Yes at 32ยข, Jun 3
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Matteo Arnaldi,yes New York M,yes New York5ยข3+$0
Will Flavio Cobolli win the KXFOMEN-26?23ยข10%-$3.7K
Game 5: Vegas at Carolina Winner?21ยข30%-$3.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VXKX2TCE4ZFIEHKK-RZODEBUWP1+$0
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the Berrettini vs Arnaldi: Quarterfinal match?52ยข3100%+$2.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

May 2026-$825
Jun 2026-$1.4K
Jul 2026-$2.4K
Aug 2026-$769
Sep 2026+$2.4K
Oct 2026-$522

Kalshi leaderboards

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