Stats as of
prospective.moth9199
-$12
- Tracked Trades
- 233
- First Seen
- Nov 9, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 5% won · 19 settled · +$667
prospective.moth9199 is a Kalshi trader with 233 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 68 losses on settled markets, -$12 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C5B89BE9923-D7949F356AE on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $12.0K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,746
Profit over time
+$0-$846
Nov 9Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢866%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢4829%7%-22 pts
40 to 60¢2047%44%-3 pts
60 to 80¢2664%50%-14 pts
Over 80¢5395%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5590%-$43
$5 to $10584%-$172
$10 to $385828%-$129
$44 to $1.5K5833%+$332
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1005%+$667
Bitcoin7513%-$163
NFL1020%-$426
Soccer3911%-$111
Tennis2100%+$47
College football50%-$17
Side taken
Yes 72%28% No
If you had copied prospective.moth9199
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$3931
Profit
on $6000 staked
9-51
Record
15% win rate
-66%
Return
61 still open
+$0-$4.0K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.23×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $5.1K lost
-8.1 pts
Edge vs implied
15% won at 23¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 59 trades
By category
crypto22 settled-63%
sports38 settled-67%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
55 open positions worth $1.2K
The markets prospective.moth9199 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C5B89BE9923-D7949F356AE
Oct 10
yes Virginia Tech,yes Alabama,yes Texas A&M,yes SMU,yes BYU,yes Memphis,yes Notre Dame,yes South Florida,yes Texas St.,yes UTSA,yes Georgia,yes North Dakota St.
Oct 2
yes Portugal,yes Netherlands,yes Norway
Oct 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$833KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C5B89BE9923-D7949F356AE$1.5K on Yes at 64¢, Oct 10
- 2+$64BTC price up in next 15 mins?$48 on No at 43¢, Sep 18
- 3+$57Atletico wins$19 on Yes at 25¢, Sep 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C5B89BE9923-D7949F356AE64¢1100%+$833
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25¢6011%-$160
Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins?17¢20%-$134
yes England advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances29¢2+$0
Washington wins35¢20%-$198
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$7
Jun 2026-$2
Jul 2026-$93
Aug 2026-$19
Sep 2026-$683
Oct 2026+$792
Kalshi leaderboards
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