rivomarkets

Stats as of

rafabaez77

-$2.0K
Tracked Trades
477
First Seen
Jul 1, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 7, 2026
Best In College football
67% won · 21 settled · +$148

rafabaez77 is a Kalshi trader with 477 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 75 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, -$2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: San Diego wins on Oct 7.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$60.2K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
53¢
Kalshi rank
#5,922

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$2.7K
Jul 2Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢498%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢9430%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢16550%39%-11 pts
60 to 80¢6569%61%-8 pts
Over 80¢10487%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1012051%+$1
$10 to $3011935%-$211
$30 to $9611943%-$505
$96 to $2.3K11960%-$1.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer16929%-$2.0K
Baseball22247%-$165
NFL5745%+$75
College football2867%+$148
MMA1+$0

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied rafabaez77

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1762
Profit
on $14600 staked
72-74
Record
49% win rate
-12%
Return
116 still open
Profit over time146 settled trades
+$468-$1.8K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
408% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$5.6K won vs $7.4K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
75 trades

By category

sports145 settled-13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

94 open positions worth $6.5K

The markets rafabaez77 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rafabaez77 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
San Diego wins
Oct 7
Yes88¢$1.9K+$265
Milwaukee wins
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 88¢$103Exited
Mexico wins
Oct 7
Yes46¢$96-$96
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Brazil vs Norway: To Advance
    $944 on Yes at 31¢, Jul 5
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    Seattle wins
    $479 on Yes at 47¢, Sep 24
    +$540
  3. 3
    KXMLBGAME-26SEP302000BOSNYY-NYY
    $680 on Yes at 59¢, Oct 1
    +$473
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Mexico vs England: To Advance44¢100%-$1.6K
France vs Spain: To Advance49¢90%-$1.7K
England vs Argentina: To Advance54¢3+$0
Paraguay vs France: To Advance35¢3+$0
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals?63¢20%-$191

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 10Oct 7

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$2.0K
Aug 2026-$58
Sep 2026-$204
Oct 2026+$288

Kalshi leaderboards

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