Stats as of
returnofthemack
+$2.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 672
- First Seen
- Nov 25, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 89% won · 169 settled · +$1.4K
returnofthemack is a Kalshi trader with 672 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 390 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 84%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $54.4K
- Typical trade
- $11
- Avg entry
- 83¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,100
Profit over time
+$2.6K-$160
Nov 25Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢54%
20 to 40¢932%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢2851%64%+12 pts
60 to 80¢10075%49%-26 pts
Over 80¢53089%89%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $216882%-$8
$2 to $1116884%+$4
$11 to $6316882%-$35
$63 to $99016887%+$2.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin17094%+$1.9K
XRP24582%-$6
Other crypto11384%-$176
Baseball3553%-$168
Solana4393%+$201
Ethereum24100%+$108
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied returnofthemack
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$101
Profit
on $45100 staked
383-68
Record
85% win rate
-0%
Return
86 still open
+$554-$888
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
149% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $6.8K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
85% won at 86¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 104 trades
By category
sports28 settled+21%
crypto412 settled-2%
other11 settled-5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $3.3K
The markets returnofthemack is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026?
Oct 15, 3 fills
Bitcoin price on Oct 14, 2026?
Oct 15
Western Kentucky wins
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$439BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.8K on Yes at 80¢, Sep 16
- 2+$384yes Arizona,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning$245 on Yes at 39¢, Sep 22
- 3+$351Seattle wins$429 on Yes at 55¢, Sep 17
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?87¢64100%+$1.8K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?84¢5671%-$390
XRP price up in next 15 mins?85¢24582%-$6
Bitcoin price on Sep 22, 2026?91¢22100%+$297
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?88¢11384%-$176
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$12
Jan 2026-$22
Jul 2026-$37
Aug 2026-$89
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026+$447
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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