Stats as of
rich.swordtail
+$522
- Tracked Trades
- 319
- First Seen
- Apr 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 157 settled · +$353
rich.swordtail is a Kalshi trader with 319 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 148 losses on settled markets, $522 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 8%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $25.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,930
Profit over time
+$1.8K-$665
Apr 10Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2792%3%+1 pts
20 to 40¢1328%70%+42 pts
40 to 60¢453%67%+14 pts
60 to 80¢469%
Over 80¢1993%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2808%-$22
$2 to $9800%-$220
$9 to $23800%-$357
$23 to $2.7K7922%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3076%+$353
Golf2100%+$170
NBA2+$0
Bitcoin650%-$1
NFL2100%+$1
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied rich.swordtail
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$8979
Profit
on $16000 staked
12-148
Record
8% win rate
-56%
Return
111 still open
+$0-$9.0K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$9.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.39×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $14.8K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 74
- Deepest drawdown
- 144 trades
By category
sports158 settled-57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
86 open positions worth $1.2K
The markets rich.swordtail is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 3
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 3
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes New Mexico St.,yes Liberty,yes Northwestern,yes Texas A&M,yes Tennessee,yes SMU,yes James Madison,yes Oregon St.$47 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 29
- 2+$1.1Kyes Liberty wins by over 2.5 points,no Virginia Tech wins by over 7.5 points,no Winnipeg wins by over 2.5 goals,no Detroit wins by over 2.5 goals$478 on Yes at 31¢, Oct 2
- 3+$933Parlay: Liberty wins by over 2.5 points + Not Virginia Tech wins by over 7.5 points + Not Winnipeg wins by over 2.5 goals + Not Detroit wins by over 2.5 goals$967 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points47¢60%-$1.3K
yes Francisco Comesana,yes Facundo Mena,yes Andres Andrade,yes Nuno Borges,yes Adolfo Daniel Vallejo,yes Juncheng Shang,yes Coleman Wong,yes Fabian Marozsan,yes Roman Safiullin,yes Baltimore,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Alexandra Eala,yes Anna Bondar3¢2+$0
yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes Baltimore,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Seattle7¢4+$0
yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Colorado,yes Toronto,yes Over 4.5 goals scored6¢30%-$96
yes Buffalo,yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia,yes Seattle,yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Derrick Henry: 1+2¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$170
Sep 2026+$26
Oct 2026+$327
Kalshi leaderboards
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