Stats as of
rough.crash
+$16
- Tracked Trades
- 53
- First Seen
- Jan 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 76% won ยท 17 settled ยท +$57
rough.crash is a Kalshi trader with 53 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 15 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $16 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Baltimore wins on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 60%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $3.8K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 20ยข
- Kalshi rank
- #4,638
Profit over time
+$16-$221
Jan 18Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1412%0%-12 pts
20 to 40ยข3031%63%+32 pts
40 to 60ยข145%
60 to 80ยข668%100%+32 pts
Over 80ยข290%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $141475%+$21
$14 to $191325%-$13
$21 to $381350%+$30
$45 to $1.7K1360%-$22
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US elections2+$0
NFL2276%+$57
Parlays2450%+$34
Soccer30%-$57
College basketball10%-$19
Mentions1+$0
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied rough.crash
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2254
Profit
on $1500 staked
13-2
Record
87% win rate
+150%
Return
4 still open
+$2.3K+$0
Aug 24Sep 28
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 15 so far.
By category
sports15 settled+150%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $200
The markets rough.crash is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Baltimore wins
Oct 4
CONTROLH-2026-R
Oct 4
Dallas wins
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$159Dallas wins$68 on Yes at 30ยข, Oct 4
- 2+$69yes Ghana,yes Colombia$29 on Yes at 29ยข, Jun 17
- 3+$69Las Vegas wins$147 on No at 68ยข, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
CONTROLH-2026-R1+$0
Las Vegas wins44ยข450%-$92
Dallas wins30ยข11100%+$159
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?8ยข1+$0
Baltimore wins87ยข1100%+$20
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$19
Mar 2026-$19
Apr 2026-$63
Jun 2026+$41
Oct 2026+$76
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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