rivomarkets

Stats as of

Rybau

rybau

-$627
Tracked Trades
231
First Seen
Jan 10, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 4, 2026

Rybau is a Kalshi trader with 231 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 28 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, -$627 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Francisco,yes Detroit,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota on Oct 4.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$31.1K
Typical trade
$64
Avg entry
14¢
Kalshi rank
#5,298

Profit over time

+$214-$1.0K
Jan 11Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9910%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢5129%46%+18 pts
40 to 60¢4351%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1370%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢2591%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $235838%-$12
$24 to $645838%-$77
$64 to $1215845%+$638
$123 to $4.6K5731%-$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays11925%-$153
College basketball7243%-$215
NFL1633%-$542
NBA1260%-$17
College football350%+$324
Baseball250%+$66

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied Rybau

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$110
Profit
on $2200 staked
8-14
Record
36% win rate
+5%
Return
19 still open
Profit over time22 settled trades
+$510-$500
Jul 13Sep 28
-$500
Max drawdown
82% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.4K lost
+7.4 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
5 trades

By category

sports22 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

19 open positions worth $1.5K

The markets Rybau is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Rybau is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes San Francisco,yes Detroit,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota
Oct 4
Yes17¢$95-$95
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S202649E712FEF5D-EDBF2D8B0BB
Oct 4
Sold Nosold 93¢$1.5KExited
yes San Francisco,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Buffalo,yes Baltimore
Oct 4
Yes6¢$94-$94
See every position across 148 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes BUF Bills,yes SF 49ers
    $143 on Yes at 25¢, Aug 27
    +$419
  2. 2
    Will North Carolina win the North Carolina vs TCU college football game?
    $192 on Yes at 37¢, Aug 29
    +$326
  3. 3
    San Francisco vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: San Francisco wins?
    $267 on Yes at 46¢, Aug 28
    +$313
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Cleveland,yes Donovan Mitchell: 30+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes James Harden: 20+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 15+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+2¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S202649E712FEF5D-EDBF2D8B0BB1+$0
yes Tyrese Maxey: 2+,yes Minnesota,yes Los Angeles L,yes Jaylen Brown: 20+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+,yes Joel Embiid: 20+,yes Kenneth Walker III,yes Los Angeles R,yes Matthew Stafford: 1+,yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Jarrett Stidham: 1+,yes Drake Maye: 1+2¢2+$0
Chicago vs Tennessee Pro Football game: Tennessee wins?51¢20%-$291
yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 10+58¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 7Oct 4

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$83
Feb 2026-$38
Mar 2026-$375
Apr 2026-$95
May 2026-$114
Jun 2026-$15
Jul 2026-$282
Aug 2026+$871
Sep 2026-$307
Oct 2026-$188

Kalshi leaderboards

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