rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

sad.hopeApollinaire

sad.hopeapollinaire

+$624
Tracked Trades
492
First Seen
Mar 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Parlays
39% won · 44 settled · +$675

sad.hopeApollinaire is a Kalshi trader with 492 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 66 wins and 53 losses on settled markets, $624 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BEF5565909A-E7CC9A2C407 on Oct 12.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$56.7K
Typical trade
$78
Avg entry
20¢
Kalshi rank
#3,721

Profit over time

+$991-$529
Mar 25Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17911%19%+8 pts
20 to 40¢14829%62%+33 pts
40 to 60¢8350%68%+19 pts
60 to 80¢4669%46%-23 pts
Over 80¢3689%85%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $4712371%+$532
$47 to $7612354%+$1.7K
$81 to $12112330%-$751
$122 to $3.2K12336%-$883

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays39740%+$724
Soccer9165%-$67
Basketball20%-$48
NBA2100%+$15

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied sad.hopeApollinaire

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2556
Profit
on $8100 staked
40-41
Record
49% win rate
+32%
Return
288 still open
Profit over time81 settled trades
+$2.6K+$0
Jul 13Oct 5
-$933
Max drawdown
111% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.62×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $4.1K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
17 trades

By category

sports81 settled+32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

282 open positions worth $27.9K

The markets sad.hopeApollinaire is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sad.hopeApollinaire is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BEF5565909A-E7CC9A2C407
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 91¢$561Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C8DF29C200A-C4B2A246E23
Oct 11
Sold Nosold 94¢$952Exited
yes Juventude RS,yes Palmeiras,yes Tolima,yes Macara,yes Al Ahly (EGY),yes SL Benfica,yes Nacional
Oct 11
Yes7¢$75-$75
See every position across 395 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Palmeiras,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Tie,yes Crystal Palace,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes SL Benfica,yes Lazio,yes Bologna
    $47 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 11
    +$837
  2. 2
    yes Banfield,yes Nashville,yes Philadelphia,yes Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $47 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 10
    +$419
  3. 3
    yes England advances,yes Harry Kane: 1+
    $143 on Yes at 31¢, Jul 5
    +$326
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Tie 1st Half,yes England wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals,yes Portugal,yes Croatia,yes Over 1.5 goals scored2¢2+$0
yes Reg Time: Barnsley,yes Reg Time: Brentford,yes Reg Time: Sheffield United,yes Reg Time: Millwall,yes Reg Time: Norwich,yes Reg Time: Wolverhampton,yes Reg Time: Reading,yes Reg Time: Peterborough,yes Real Betis5¢2+$0
yes Defensores,yes Instituto Cordoba,yes Bahia,yes America Cali,yes Uni Catolica,yes Real Betis,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Braga,yes Inter5¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EC2FDBCE360-98E8E4595051+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C8DF29C200A-C4B2A246E231+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$33
Jun 2026-$92
Jul 2026+$1.1K
Aug 2026-$387
Sep 2026-$791
Oct 2026+$853

Kalshi leaderboards

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