Stats as of
sad.treefrog6442
+$146
- Tracked Trades
- 41
- First Seen
- Jul 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
sad.treefrog6442 is a Kalshi trader with 41 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $146 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D1819E54E23-5EE85622455 on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- +26%
- Money traded
- $2.2K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,263
Profit over time
+$304-$24
Jul 12Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢229%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1327%67%+39 pts
40 to 60¢246%50%+4 pts
Over 80¢494%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $91156%+$178
$13 to $191013%-$95
$19 to $241040%+$139
$25 to $1.1K1025%-$76
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1314%-$7
College football1531%-$111
NFL957%+$190
Soccer450%+$75
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied sad.treefrog6442
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2095
Profit
on $2800 staked
9-19
Record
32% win rate
+75%
Return
5 still open
+$2.3K-$300
Jul 13Oct 5
-$600
Max drawdown
25% below peak
3.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.10×
Profit factor
$4.0K won vs $1.9K lost
+13.9 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 6 trades
By category
sports28 settled+75%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $150
The markets sad.treefrog6442 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D1819E54E23-5EE85622455
Oct 6
yes Chris Olave: 6+,yes Juwan Johnson: 5+,yes Drake London: 80+,yes Bijan Robinson: 2+,yes Juwan Johnson: 1+
Oct 6
yes Bryce Young: 2+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 5+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$158yes Pittsburgh,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Cincinnati$9 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 13
- 2+$95New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?$24 on Yes at 20¢, Sep 10
- 3+$79England vs Argentina: To Advance$24 on Yes at 23¢, Jul 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D1819E54E23-5EE856224551+$0
Will Louisville win the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game?9¢20%-$19
Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?30¢5100%+$54
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins?33¢2100%+$50
yes San Francisco,yes Carolina,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Seattle8¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$52
Sep 2026+$130
Oct 2026-$35
Kalshi leaderboards
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