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Stats as of

Senor.Cacao96

senor.cacao96

+$207
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Jul 29, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
39% won · 75 settled · +$79

Senor.Cacao96 is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 272 losses on settled markets, $207 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FD00745FEF2-2943317A6FD on Sep 27.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$13.9K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#4,256

Profit over time

+$519-$204
Jul 29Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6604%8%+4 pts
20 to 40¢14229%21%-8 pts
40 to 60¢11549%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢6069%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢2488%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425124%+$12
$4 to $52508%-$73
$5 to $925028%+$122
$9 to $3.1K25028%+$146

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays4886%-$106
Baseball14215%-$266
Bitcoin17337%+$146
Tennis8733%+$30
Soccer2711%-$6
WNBA1040%+$376

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied Senor.Cacao96

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2252
Profit
on $35700 staked
85-272
Record
24% win rate
-6%
Return
531 still open
Profit over time357 settled trades
+$6.0K-$2.3K
Jul 27Sep 21
-$9.2K
Max drawdown
133% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$24.9K won vs $27.2K lost
-0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 25¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
205 trades

By category

other357 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

481 open positions worth $3.2K

The markets Senor.Cacao96 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Senor.Cacao96 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FD00745FEF2-2943317A6FD
Sep 27
Sold Nosold 83¢$557Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264164AF9E994-6A67D7EF7C7
Sep 21
Sold Nosold 80¢$3.1KExited
yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie
Sep 21
Yes0¢$5-$5
See every position across 772 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins?
    $22 on Yes at 7¢, Aug 7
    +$287
  2. 2
    Atlanta vs New York Y Winner?
    $9 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 8
    +$147
  3. 3
    yes Toronto,yes Arizona,yes Washington,yes Atlanta,yes New York M,yes Kansas City,yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee
    $9 on Yes at 7¢, Aug 29
    +$127
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264164AF9E994-6A67D7EF7C71+$0
no Platense,no Bolton,no Stoke,no Swansea,no Burnley,yes Reg Time: Bournemouth,yes Reg Time: Newcastle,no Abo Qair Semads,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Al-Ittihad,yes AEK Athens,no Club Brugge,yes Dortmund,yes Manchester City,yes Real Madrid0¢2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?29¢17337%+$146
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202653CB4346817-986E351F6171+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FD00745FEF2-2943317A6FD1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$188
Aug 2026+$201
Sep 2026-$182

Kalshi leaderboards

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