rivomarkets

Stats as of

shy.sparrow6828

+$871
Tracked Trades
712
First Seen
Jul 11, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Soccer
57% won · 44 settled · +$2.4K

shy.sparrow6828 is a Kalshi trader with 712 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 242 wins and 255 losses on settled markets, $871 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 15.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$94.7K
Typical trade
$42
Avg entry
34¢
Kalshi rank
#3,235

Profit over time

+$4.9K-$4.6K
Jul 11Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7810%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢10731%7%-24 pts
40 to 60¢28450%41%-9 pts
60 to 80¢15969%82%+13 pts
Over 80¢8492%72%-20 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $917843%-$79
$9 to $4217845%-$805
$42 to $13217847%-$1.6K
$132 to $4.6K17860%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin50448%-$3.6K
Tennis10954%+$1.2K
Soccer6157%+$2.4K
Baseball1088%+$2.0K
Parlays1814%-$382
Golf1011%-$764

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied shy.sparrow6828

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$9896
Profit
on $48700 staked
238-249
Record
49% win rate
-20%
Return
Profit over time487 settled trades
+$56-$10.4K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$12.2K
Max drawdown
1656% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.60×
Profit factor
$15.0K won vs $24.9K lost
-3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
46
Deepest drawdown
358 trades

By category

sports152 settled-18%
crypto333 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 10 fills
No57¢$1.2K+$866
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 9 fills
Sold Yessold 33¢$321Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 4 fills
Sold Yessold 45¢$448Exited
See every position across 108 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Isabella Marton win the Marton vs Gowda: W35 Saskatoon Round of 16 match?
    $2.6K on Yes at 46¢, Jul 23
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    Bitcoin price on Jul 21, 2026?
    $2.9K on No at 49¢, Jul 21
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs?
    $5.1K on Yes at 65¢, Jul 19
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?63¢26657%+$3.1K
Bitcoin price on Jul 21, 2026?52¢10943%-$3.3K
Bitcoin price on Jul 22, 2026?57¢8440%-$1.7K
Bitcoin price on Jul 20, 2026?58¢2823%-$1.5K
Will Isabella Marton win the Marton vs Gowda: W35 Saskatoon Round of 16 match?46¢15100%+$3.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$3.5K
Sep 2026-$4
Oct 2026+$4.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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