Stats as of
smooth.odds
-$934
- Tracked Trades
- 997
- First Seen
- Apr 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 9, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 21% won · 58 settled · +$548
smooth.odds is a Kalshi trader with 997 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 240 wins and 281 losses on settled markets, -$934 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? on Oct 9.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $49.7K
- Typical trade
- $15
- Avg entry
- 25¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,940
Profit over time
+$140-$3.3K
Apr 12Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2079%4%-5 pts
20 to 40¢19129%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢26050%57%+8 pts
60 to 80¢16468%65%-2 pts
Over 80¢17589%88%-2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425034%-$39
$4 to $1524945%-$216
$15 to $4824941%-$700
$48 to $2.6K24956%+$21
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Golf6713%-$1.2K
Soccer12049%+$45
Bitcoin14148%-$865
Baseball6458%+$185
College football7373%+$480
US elections8+$0
Side taken
Yes 57%43% No
If you had copied smooth.odds
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$400
Profit
on $24300 staked
112-131
Record
46% win rate
+2%
Return
6 still open
+$1.5K-$281
Aug 24Oct 5
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
101% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$13.5K won vs $13.1K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 58 trades
By category
sports243 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $4.4K
The markets smooth.odds is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Full Game: over 42.5 points scored?
Oct 4
yes Buffalo,yes Baltimore
Oct 4
yes Green Bay,yes Los Angeles R,yes Buffalo,yes Baltimore
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$73810+ corners?$557 on Yes at 43¢, Jun 23
- 2+$476Frances Tiafoe wins$384 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 8
- 3+$394yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y$160 on Yes at 29¢, Sep 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Rory McIlroy win the PGA Championship?63¢467%+$73
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?34¢6+$0
Bitcoin price on Apr 12, 2026?40¢8052%-$355
Bitcoin price range on Apr 12, 2026?23¢290%-$206
Will Cameron Young win the PGA Championship?9¢140%-$278
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 12Oct 9
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$100
May 2026-$1.4K
Jun 2026+$1.2K
Jul 2026-$966
Aug 2026-$1.0K
Sep 2026+$880
Oct 2026+$465
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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