Stats as of
smooth.words
+$140
- Tracked Trades
- 288
- First Seen
- Mar 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In College football
- 56% won · 16 settled · +$960
smooth.words is a Kalshi trader with 288 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 29 wins and 93 losses on settled markets, $140 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Tampa Bay win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship? on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $50.8K
- Typical trade
- $95
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,344
Profit over time
+$1.8K-$1.4K
Mar 14Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1248%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢9628%31%+3 pts
40 to 60¢3548%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1071%0%-71 pts
Over 80¢2394%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $237221%-$126
$23 to $957212%-$1.3K
$95 to $1937242%+$2.1K
$193 to $2.2K7232%-$520
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays12311%-$940
Golf536%-$105
NFL4713%-$287
College football2656%+$960
Baseball1538%+$137
Tennis1667%+$653
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied smooth.words
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$924
Profit
on $9000 staked
23-67
Record
26% win rate
-10%
Return
84 still open
+$415-$1.6K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
304% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $6.7K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 33 trades
By category
sports90 settled-10%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
74 open positions worth $13.2K
The markets smooth.words is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Tampa Bay win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
Oct 12
yes Los Angeles D,yes Detroit,yes Seattle
Oct 11
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20260F14607FE2F-0786D52EC51
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KWill Michael La Sasso win the LIV Golf Indianapolis?$188 on Yes at 11¢, Aug 23
- 2+$1.1Kyes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta$332 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 5
- 3+$692Oklahoma St. wins$142 on Yes at 17¢, Sep 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Jackson Suber win the The Open Championship?3¢50%-$92
yes Chicago WS,yes Cincinnati,yes LV Raiders,yes SF 49ers7¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026855CC8EB7E0-D6C5F1C8BA61+$0
Who will win Heisman Trophy?7¢10+$0
Will Brooks Koepka win the THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?3¢20%-$47
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$475
Apr 2026-$459
May 2026+$529
Jul 2026-$462
Aug 2026+$826
Sep 2026+$380
Oct 2026-$200
Kalshi leaderboards
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