Stats as of
soft.duck
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 604
- First Seen
- Dec 23, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 77% won · 247 settled · +$898
soft.duck is a Kalshi trader with 604 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 209 wins and 79 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 73%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $42.9K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 71¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,012
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$109
Dec 24Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2057%44%+37 pts
20 to 40¢7527%36%+9 pts
40 to 60¢6052%76%+24 pts
60 to 80¢13070%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢13488%87%-1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $115173%-$0
$1 to $915162%+$28
$9 to $5515170%+$589
$58 to $1.5K15179%+$746
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin50777%+$898
Soccer8250%+$269
NBA950%+$140
NFL2100%+$60
College basketball20%-$0
College football10%-$5
Side taken
Yes 48%52% No
If you had copied soft.duck
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2772
Profit
on $25200 staked
192-60
Record
76% win rate
+11%
Return
+$2.8K+$0
Sep 7Oct 5
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
59% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.46×
Profit factor
$8.8K won vs $6.0K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
76% won at 73¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 84 trades
By category
sports5 settled+154%
crypto247 settled+8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 7
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 6
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$530BTC price up in next 15 mins?$762 on Yes at 59¢, Oct 1
- 2+$447BTC price up in next 15 mins?$484 on No at 52¢, Oct 2
- 3+$397BTC price up in next 15 mins?$485 on No at 55¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?77¢50777%+$898
Memphis Depay: 1+ goals16¢7+$0
Spain vs Cape Verde Winner?5¢30%-$28
Chelsea wins36¢20%-$96
Netherlands vs Japan Winner?79¢450%+$18
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$5
Mar 2026-$6
Jun 2026+$475
Sep 2026+$618
Oct 2026+$279
Kalshi leaderboards
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