Stats as of
spontaneousintellectual
+$365
- Tracked Trades
- 223
- First Seen
- Jan 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 9, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 3% won · 36 settled · +$855
spontaneousintellectual is a Kalshi trader with 223 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 155 losses on settled markets, $365 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202684985B55689-B2485739E47 on Oct 9.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +16%
- Money traded
- $18.3K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,964
Profit over time
+$907-$655
Jan 10Oct 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1545%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3630%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢744%17%-27 pts
60 to 80¢1265%100%+35 pts
Over 80¢1492%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2565%-$23
$2 to $8562%-$225
$8 to $195612%-$326
$19 to $3.0K5526%+$939
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL7519%-$6
Parlays662%+$815
NBA197%-$56
Baseball1129%-$54
US politics30%-$15
College basketball235%-$135
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied spontaneousintellectual
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1908
Profit
on $10200 staked
12-90
Record
12% win rate
-19%
Return
4 still open
+$227-$3.1K
Jul 27Oct 5
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
935% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$7.1K won vs $9.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 29
- Deepest drawdown
- 44 trades
By category
sports90 settled-8%
crypto11 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $22
The markets spontaneousintellectual is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202684985B55689-B2485739E47
Oct 9
yes Atlanta,yes Boston,yes Brooklyn,yes Sacramento,yes Washington
Oct 8
yes Milwaukee,yes Indiana,yes Orlando,yes Chicago,no Over 234.5 points,no Over 226.5 points
Oct 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1Kyes Los Angeles R,yes New England$28 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 4
- 2+$904Denver wins$137 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 28
- 3+$77Washington vs Atlanta Winner?$35 on Yes at 32¢, Jul 31
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles C wins3¢130%-$361
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026EACBCBB806B-239A18D61B61+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202684985B55689-B2485739E471+$0
Denver wins18¢1930%+$727
Parlay: Los Angeles R + New England1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 12Oct 9
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$18
Feb 2026-$127
Mar 2026-$121
Apr 2026-$18
May 2026-$0
Jul 2026+$61
Sep 2026+$116
Oct 2026+$474
Kalshi leaderboards
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