Stats as of
spot.nerve
+$2.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 137
- First Seen
- Jan 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 40% won · 10 settled · +$5.3K
spot.nerve is a Kalshi trader with 137 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 48 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Baltimore,yes Derrick Henry: 1+ on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 11%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $35.2K
- Typical trade
- $97
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,222
Profit over time
+$2.8K-$3.7K
Jan 8Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢678%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢2932%15%-17 pts
40 to 60¢3253%9%-44 pts
60 to 80¢663%
Over 80¢395%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $25350%-$122
$26 to $97340%-$1.2K
$97 to $259340%-$1.7K
$284 to $2.1K3443%+$5.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4440%+$5.3K
Golf450%-$2.0K
Entertainment10+$0
College basketball70%-$1.4K
Soccer4100%+$1.5K
Tennis170%-$1.1K
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied spot.nerve
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$462
Profit
on $2700 staked
5-22
Record
19% win rate
-17%
Return
25 still open
+$0-$1.5K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $2.2K lost
-16.6 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 22 trades
By category
sports23 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
18 open positions worth $4.5K
The markets spot.nerve is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Baltimore,yes Derrick Henry: 1+
Oct 12
yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+
Oct 12
yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 2+,yes Kyle Pitts Sr.: 15+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.9Kyes Cincinnati,yes Houston,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 7.5 points,yes Michael Brennan$342 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 11
- 2+$1.6KMichigan wins$1.4K on Yes at 46¢, Sep 6
- 3+$1.5KWill the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?$324 on Yes at 18¢, Jun 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will perform at the Super Bowl LX?29¢10+$0
Arizona at Kansas Winner?59¢20%-$1.3K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026B4343E89959-E319C7F743559¢1100%+$1.5K
Parlay: Carlos Alcaraz + Paul Casey + Aryna Sabalenka1+$0
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?18¢2100%+$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$46
Feb 2026-$2.7K
May 2026-$466
Jun 2026+$1.0K
Aug 2026-$1.5K
Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026+$4.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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