rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

steam.sword

-$100
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Feb 3, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026
Best In Parlays
2% won · 41 settled · +$396

steam.sword is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, -$100 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle on Sep 27.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$23.5K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#4,905

Profit over time

+$0-$1.2K
Feb 3Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5296%3%-3 pts
20 to 40¢12429%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢13651%45%-6 pts
60 to 80¢13067%60%-7 pts
Over 80¢8194%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $925039%-$51
$9 to $1925028%-$166
$19 to $2925044%+$982
$29 to $1.0K25049%-$865

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays4962%+$396
NBA21147%-$473
MMA9949%+$288
NFL5383%-$81
Bitcoin108+$0
College basketball1829%-$151

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied steam.sword

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2415
Profit
on $4700 staked
5-42
Record
11% win rate
+51%
Return
137 still open
Profit over time47 settled trades
+$2.4K-$62
Jul 13Sep 21
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
411% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$6.6K won vs $4.2K lost
-1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 13¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

other47 settled+51%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

122 open positions worth $3.1K

The markets steam.sword is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what steam.sword is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle
Sep 27
Yes3¢$23-$23
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions
Sep 27
Sold Nosold 84¢$1.0KExited
yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas
Sep 27, 2 fills
Yes10¢$24-$24
See every position across 602 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cleveland,yes Pittsburgh,yes Indianapolis,yes Detroit,yes New York G
    $23 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 27
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026?
    $142 on Yes at 20¢, May 10
    +$558
  3. 3
    Sean Sharaf wins
    $9 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 19
    +$108
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions1+$0
yes Steven Asplund,yes Caroline Foro Antunes,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Diego Ferreira,yes Quillan Salkilld,yes Miles Johns,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Juliana Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa,yes Jose Montanha Da Silva3¢3+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?27¢107+$0
Will the New England win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?63¢1889%-$109
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points?79¢6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$432
Mar 2026-$577
Apr 2026+$33
May 2026+$363
Jun 2026-$94
Aug 2026+$78
Sep 2026+$529

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