Stats as of
stem.knife
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Aug 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 57% won · 403 settled · +$1.4K
stem.knife is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 289 wins and 223 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264A0D4B7D8DC-33BE8F41A02 on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 56%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $45.0K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Avg entry
- 49¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,054
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$189
Aug 4Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢598%20%+12 pts
20 to 40¢6231%19%-12 pts
40 to 60¢70352%58%+6 pts
60 to 80¢11868%67%-1 pts
Over 80¢5888%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $825058%+$0
$8 to $2025067%+$518
$20 to $4925051%-$21
$49 to $1.6K25053%+$685
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball66857%+$1.3K
Parlays8225%-$414
Soccer17459%+$42
NFL3083%+$274
Esports38100%+$38
Bitcoin20%-$21
Side taken
Yes 39%61% No
If you had copied stem.knife
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4338
Profit
on $51200 staked
289-223
Record
56% win rate
+8%
Return
191 still open
+$4.9K+$0
Aug 3Oct 12
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
77% below peak
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$26.6K won vs $22.3K lost
+4.7 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 100 trades
By category
sports510 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
120 open positions worth $5.6K
The markets stem.knife is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264A0D4B7D8DC-33BE8F41A02
Oct 14
yes Como,yes Manchester City,yes Real Madrid
Oct 14
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$490Over 7.5 runs scored$385 on Yes at 44¢, Sep 30
- 2+$3791st inning: Over 0.5 runs$445 on No at 54¢, Oct 1
- 3+$293Over 9.5 runs scored$265 on No at 47¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
1st inning: Over 0.5 runs54¢23953%+$975
Over 7.5 runs scored52¢1322%-$380
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264A0D4B7D8DC-33BE8F41A021+$0
Over 9.5 runs scored51¢13100%+$343
Will Baltimore score over 2.5 runs?47¢9+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$50
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$397
Kalshi leaderboards
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