Stats as of
stupid.whale
+$5.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 801
- First Seen
- Mar 2, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 34% won · 128 settled · +$5.2K
stupid.whale is a Kalshi trader with 801 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 114 wins and 164 losses on settled markets, $5.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 runs? on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $125.9K
- Typical trade
- $60
- Avg entry
- 39¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,049
Profit over time
+$6.3K-$4.4K
Mar 2Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5913%17%+4 pts
20 to 40¢35332%20%-12 pts
40 to 60¢30347%63%+16 pts
60 to 80¢3564%93%+29 pts
Over 80¢5188%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1520140%+$38
$15 to $6020038%+$177
$60 to $16220042%+$60
$164 to $3.2K20043%+$5.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis50141%+$7.6K
NBA8051%+$94
College basketball676%-$2.0K
Baseball793%-$3.0K
College football4287%+$4.1K
NFL1017%-$716
Side taken
Yes 81%19% No
If you had copied stupid.whale
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2780
Profit
on $5600 staked
26-30
Record
46% win rate
+50%
Return
1 still open
+$2.8K-$2.5K
Aug 31Oct 12
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
1575% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.93×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $3.0K lost
+11.2 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 27 trades
By category
sports55 settled+44%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $1
The markets stupid.whale is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 runs?
Oct 15
KXMLBSPREAD-26OCT142000MILLAD-MIL4
Oct 15
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$7.4KWill Rebecca Sramkova win the Sramkova vs Ruzic : Qualification Round 1 match?$5.2K on Yes at 41¢, Feb 13
- 2+$3.6KBoise St. wins by over 9.5 points$2.3K on No at 39¢, Oct 11
- 3+$3.5KKXMLBSPREAD-26OCT142000MILLAD-MIL4$978 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Shuai Zhang win the Baptiste vs Zhang : Qualification Round 1 match?47¢16+$0
Will Rebecca Sramkova win the Sramkova vs Ruzic : Qualification Round 1 match?41¢6100%+$7.4K
Will Tatjana Maria win the Maria vs Birrell : Round Of 64 match?35¢9+$0
Detroit wins39¢280%-$4.5K
San Jose St. wins35¢4100%+$2.7K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Mar 2025-$93
Nov 2025-$2.2K
Jan 2026-$695
Feb 2026+$8.0K
Mar 2026-$1.1K
Apr 2026-$47
Sep 2026-$3.0K
Oct 2026+$5.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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