rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

surprised.hedgehog1284

+$129
Tracked Trades
1,079
First Seen
Aug 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Parlays
5% won · 218 settled · +$458

surprised.hedgehog1284 is a Kalshi trader with 1,079 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 107 wins and 527 losses on settled markets, $129 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes River Plate,no Reg Time: Palmeiras,no Reg Time: Montevideo City,yes Junior,yes Independ. Santa Fe,yes Chicago Fire,yes Cincinnati,yes Columbus,yes Dallas,yes Miami,yes Nashville on Oct 14.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$46.5K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#3,757

Profit over time

+$967-$629
Aug 25Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5646%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢27229%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢11449%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢4370%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢8695%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $227019%-$65
$2 to $527025%-$89
$5 to $1027011%+$971
$10 to $3.8K2696%-$688

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays4925%+$277
Bitcoin33727%-$92
Soccer25021%-$56

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied surprised.hedgehog1284

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5259
Profit
on $63400 staked
107-527
Record
17% win rate
-8%
Return
217 still open
Profit over time634 settled trades
+$125-$10.3K
Aug 24Oct 12
-$11.7K
Max drawdown
4640% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$47.4K won vs $52.7K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
325 trades

By category

sports385 settled-2%
crypto249 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

184 open positions worth $1.7K

The markets surprised.hedgehog1284 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what surprised.hedgehog1284 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes River Plate,no Reg Time: Palmeiras,no Reg Time: Montevideo City,yes Junior,yes Independ. Santa Fe,yes Chicago Fire,yes Cincinnati,yes Columbus,yes Dallas,yes Miami,yes Nashville
Oct 14
Yes1¢$9-$9
yes Aston Villa,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes PSG,yes Real Betis,no Roma,yes Shakhtar
Oct 14
Sold Nosold 0¢$0Exited
yes Aston Villa,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes PSG,yes Real Betis,no Roma,yes Shakhtar
Oct 14
Yes68¢$16+$7
See every position across 602 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Portugal,yes Germany,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie
    $9 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 1
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    yes Leipzig,yes Both Teams To Score,no Manchester United,no Alkmaar,no Cordoba,yes Sabadell,yes 8+ corners,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Porto,yes Lille,yes PSG,yes Inter,yes Napoli,yes Fenerbahce
    $9 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 10
    +$612
  3. 3
    yes Albania,yes Luxembourg,yes Croatia,yes Spain,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Switzerland,yes Finland,yes Slovakia,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $14 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 26
    +$246
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
no Cincinnati,yes Nashville,yes Charlotte,yes Colorado,no Vancouver,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes New England,no San Diego FC,no Columbus,yes Philadelphia,no Kansas City,yes Saint Louis0¢20%-$4
yes Sao Paulo,yes Vasco da Gama,yes Leipzig,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Monaco,no Lorient,yes Lille,yes PSG,yes Stade Brest 29,yes Chicago Fire,yes New England,yes Inter,yes Napoli0¢20%-$9
yes Bahia,yes Flamengo,yes Palmeiras,no M´gladbach,yes Freiburg,yes Crystal Palace,no Hull City,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes SL Benfica,yes Rio Ave,no Troyes,yes Nice,yes Stade Rennais,yes Juventus,yes Lazio,yes Bologna,yes Milan0¢20%-$9
yes Bayern Munich,yes Stuttgart,yes Arsenal,yes Aston Villa,yes Chelsea,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Lille,yes PSG,yes Inter,yes Napoli,yes Juventus,yes Milan,yes Atalanta0¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269CBECE44E77-184AA704C601+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$77
Sep 2026-$59
Oct 2026+$265

Kalshi leaderboards

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