rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

surprising.starling3899

+$676
Tracked Trades
93
First Seen
May 14, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Parlays
12% won · 17 settled · +$733

surprising.starling3899 is a Kalshi trader with 93 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $676 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202662BEBA267CA-DC36D86BC4E on Oct 1.

Win rate
12%
Return on settled
+139%
Money traded
$52.0K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#3,657

Profit over time

+$837-$205
May 14Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢675%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1127%50%+23 pts
40 to 60¢748%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢575%
Over 80¢395%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $42410%-$10
$4 to $5230%-$65
$5 to $102343%+$21
$11 to $50K2310%+$730

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays5817%+$776
College football180%-$91
Soccer633%-$9
Mentions3+$0
World politics4+$0
Bitcoin2+$0

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied surprising.starling3899

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$693
Profit
on $3200 staked
2-30
Record
6% win rate
-22%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time32 settled trades
+$0-$1.8K
Aug 31Sep 28
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $3.0K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 6¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
28 trades

By category

sports32 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $0

The markets surprising.starling3899 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what surprising.starling3899 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202662BEBA267CA-DC36D86BC4E
Oct 1
Sold Nosold 93¢$1.0KExited
yes Team Yandex,yes OG,yes BNK FEARX,yes Aaron Rodgers: 150+,yes C.J. Stroud: 175+,yes Daniel Jones: 150+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Josh Allen: 150+,yes Drake Maye: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Cam Ward: 125+,yes George Pickens: 40+,yes Jaylen Waddle: 50+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 40+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 60+,yes Davante Adams: 70+,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Atlanta,yes Gabby Williams: 10+,yes Kiki Iriafen: 8+
Oct 1
Yes2¢$46-$46
yes Aaron Rodgers: 150+,yes C.J. Stroud: 175+,yes Joe Burrow: 200+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Drake Maye: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Cam Ward: 125+,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Kiki Iriafen: 8+,yes Shakira Austin: 8+
Sep 30
Yes7¢$70-$70
See every position across 65 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Xtreme Gaming,yes LGD Gaming,yes KT Rolster,yes Team WE,yes Kansas City,yes Aaron Rodgers: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Team Liquid,yes Nongshim RedForce,yes Global Esports,yes T1,yes Atlanta
    $47 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 30
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    yes Argentina wins by over 1.5 goals,yes France wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Norway wins by over 1.5 goals
    $5 on Yes at 10¢, Jun 16
    +$43
  3. 3
    yes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway
    $5 on Yes at 37¢, Jun 16
    +$8
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Natus Vincere,yes Xtreme Gaming,yes LGD Gaming,yes KT Rolster,yes Team WE,yes Kansas City,yes Aaron Rodgers: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Team Liquid,yes Nongshim RedForce,yes Global Esports,yes T1,yes Atlanta0¢20%-$45
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202662BEBA267CA-DC36D86BC4E1+$0
yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 20+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 20+,yes Isaiah Hartenstein: 4+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,yes Over 211.5 points scored24¢3+$0
yes Aaron Rodgers: 150+,yes C.J. Stroud: 175+,yes Joe Burrow: 200+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Drake Maye: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Cam Ward: 125+,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Kiki Iriafen: 8+,yes Shakira Austin: 8+7¢10%-$70
yes Arizona,yes Denver,yes Green Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles C,yes New England,yes Baltimore,yes Atlanta,yes Baltimore,yes New England0¢30%-$57

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

May 2026-$1
Jun 2026+$10
Sep 2026+$713
Oct 2026-$46

Kalshi leaderboards

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