rivomarkets

Stats as of

tall.change

-$571
Tracked Trades
539
First Seen
Mar 30, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
81% won · 160 settled · +$2.2K

tall.change is a Kalshi trader with 539 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 161 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, -$571 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 13.

Win rate
70%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$62.1K
Typical trade
$25
Avg entry
65¢
Kalshi rank
#611

Profit over time

+$6.2K-$571
Mar 30Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢289%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢6230%43%+13 pts
40 to 60¢12252%62%+10 pts
60 to 80¢18569%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢14292%98%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $513556%-$4
$5 to $2513573%+$195
$25 to $12513584%+$1.1K
$132 to $3.6K13468%-$1.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin19576%-$3.4K
Solana16249%-$709
Ethereum42+$0
NFL10100%+$3.5K
NBA6568%-$109
Baseball2075%+$41

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied tall.change

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$294
Profit
on $18600 staked
128-58
Record
69% win rate
+2%
Return
111 still open
Profit over time186 settled trades
+$1.1K+$0
Oct 5Oct 12
-$4.5K
Max drawdown
94% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$6.1K won vs $5.8K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 65¢ avg
Longest losing streak
38
Deepest drawdown
47 trades

By category

sports6 settled+78%
crypto180 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $11.2K

The markets tall.change is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tall.change is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 13, 19 fills
Yes45¢sold 10¢$1.3K-$1.3K
Ethereum price at Oct 13, 2026 at 2am EDT?
Oct 13, 24 fills
Yes22¢sold 30¢$190Exited
SOL price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 13, 28 fills
No63¢$1.9K-$1.9K
See every position across 93 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    San Francisco wins
    $2.4K on Yes at 62¢, Oct 11
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Buffalo wins
    $998 on Yes at 44¢, Oct 13
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    SOL price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.5K on Yes at 55¢, Oct 13
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?68¢17576%-$3.4K
SOL price up in next 15 mins?61¢16249%-$709
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 2pm EDT?70¢13+$0
San Francisco wins62¢2100%+$1.5K
Buffalo wins49¢3100%+$1.5K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$128
Apr 2026-$81
Oct 2026-$618

Kalshi leaderboards

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