Stats as of
thefakeshaep
+$6.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,047
- First Seen
- Jul 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 66% won · 73 settled · +$3.9K
thefakeshaep is a Kalshi trader with 2,047 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 707 wins and 363 losses on settled markets, $6.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Jay Clarke wins on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 66%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $458.5K
- Typical trade
- $27
- Avg entry
- 51¢
- Kalshi rank
- #959
Profit over time
+$10.6K-$1.1K
Jul 25Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢18211%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢21332%47%+15 pts
40 to 60¢88151%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢27170%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢50089%89%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $851257%+$95
$8 to $2751265%+$401
$27 to $12851270%-$184
$129 to $7.6K51172%+$6.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis110165%+$5.3K
Baseball29562%+$2.2K
College football32063%-$8.2K
MMA8866%+$3.9K
NFL89100%+$1.5K
Soccer7471%+$161
Side taken
Yes 66%34% No
If you had copied thefakeshaep
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5311
Profit
on $107000 staked
707-363
Record
66% win rate
+5%
Return
37 still open
+$5.3K-$110
Jul 20Sep 28
-$6.1K
Max drawdown
137% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$41.6K won vs $36.3K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
66% won at 63¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 165 trades
By category
sports195 settled+22%
other870 settled+2%
culture5 settled-56%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
14 open positions worth $4.1K
The markets thefakeshaep is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Jay Clarke wins
Oct 6
Hawai'i wins
Oct 4
Karen Khachanov wins
Oct 4, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.8KLos Angeles D wins$13.2K on Yes at 69¢, Sep 7
- 2+$5.2KWill Alexander Blockx win the Blockx vs Darderi: Semifinal match?$2.8K on Yes at 35¢, Jul 25
- 3+$5.1KFrancisco Cerundolo wins$2.4K on No at 32¢, Sep 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles D wins71¢5100%+$5.9K
Washington wins65¢3540%-$4.9K
Will Notre Dame win the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame college football game?92¢12100%+$1.2K
Will Gunawan Trismuwantara win the Idrees vs Trismuwantara: M15 Bali Round of 16 match?93¢17100%+$833
PIT Steelers wins by over 2.5 points?81¢89100%+$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$3.9K
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$4.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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