Stats as of
themellowkid
+$987
- Tracked Trades
- 986
- First Seen
- May 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 18% won · 55 settled · +$1.1K
themellowkid is a Kalshi trader with 986 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 414 losses on settled markets, $987 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026C0839B02198-60D7A03BA04 on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $110.4K
- Typical trade
- $27
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,272
Profit over time
+$987-$3.0K
May 26Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6698%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢10726%28%+2 pts
40 to 60¢2449%14%-35 pts
60 to 80¢3970%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢14791%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $62477%-$174
$6 to $2724715%+$62
$27 to $5224611%-$672
$52 to $15K24618%+$1.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3017%+$117
Baseball34716%-$1.2K
NFL9716%+$1.1K
Tennis7117%+$554
College football1944%+$1.4K
Motorsport629%-$10
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied themellowkid
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5960
Profit
on $47000 staked
57-413
Record
12% win rate
-13%
Return
268 still open
+$0-$6.0K
Aug 31Sep 21
-$10.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$35.3K won vs $41.3K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 57
- Deepest drawdown
- 202 trades
By category
other469 settled-13%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
194 open positions worth $9.7K
The markets themellowkid is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026C0839B02198-60D7A03BA04
Sep 27
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20269DB30421267-ABF8C163AC7
Sep 27
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026605108215B5-71025D13F15
Sep 27
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KClemson wins$474 on Yes at 23¢, Sep 19
- 2+$1.1Kno Texas wins by over 5.5 points,no Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points,no Boston College over 16.5 points scored$189 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 26
- 3+$1.1Kyes Shohei Ohtani: 3+,yes Matthew Golden: 1+$94 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Juan Soto: 1+,yes Aaron Judge: 1+,yes Junior Caminero: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+0¢2+$0
yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Riley Greene: 1+,yes Jackson Merrill: 1+1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026119ACAF8054-7E77AFD052E1+$0
yes Chicago C,yes Boston,yes New York M,yes Detroit,yes Atlanta,yes Los Angeles A2¢20%-$47
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026AFCE53B8A34-B5E881BB2D41+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
May 2026-$29
Sep 2026+$1.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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