Stats as of
then.swordtail1713
-$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 855
- First Seen
- May 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
then.swordtail1713 is a Kalshi trader with 855 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 75 wins and 153 losses on settled markets, -$2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026523EF6DA4E3-F382DB4EF19 on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- -4%
- Money traded
- $277.0K
- Typical trade
- $145
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,337
Profit over time
+$10.4K-$3.9K
May 29Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢27710%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢22529%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢24050%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢9965%50%-15 pts
Over 80¢1492%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4921425%-$639
$49 to $14521427%-$846
$145 to $28521439%-$244
$285 to $18K21345%-$588
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays46917%-$7.5K
Baseball33948%-$4.5K
MMA12100%+$9.2K
NBA350%+$2.1K
Tennis40%-$825
WNBA3100%+$479
Side taken
Yes 89%11% No
If you had copied then.swordtail1713
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2255
Profit
on $15900 staked
50-109
Record
31% win rate
-14%
Return
275 still open
+$720-$2.3K
Jul 13Sep 14
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
196% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$8.6K won vs $10.9K lost
+1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 46
- Deepest drawdown
- 46 trades
By category
other158 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
222 open positions worth $54.6K
The markets then.swordtail1713 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026523EF6DA4E3-F382DB4EF19
Sep 19
yes Tampa Bay,yes New York M,yes UTEP
Sep 19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AADD023BF17-DD3CA950557
Sep 19
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.2KWill Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?$3.8K on Yes at 29¢, Jun 15
- 2+$2.1KGame 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?$954 on Yes at 31¢, Jun 11
- 3+$1.8Kyes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Clement Chidekh,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Over 1.5 1H goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$112 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 16
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored5¢2+$0
Will the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 1 500+ foot home run?39¢150%-$3.8K
Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?29¢12100%+$9.2K
yes Milwaukee,yes Arizona,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 10.5 runs scored4¢2+$0
yes Tampa Bay,yes Chicago WS,yes Minnesota,yes Over 2.5 goals scored9¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
May 2026-$23
Jun 2026+$5.6K
Jul 2026-$9.4K
Aug 2026+$3.3K
Sep 2026-$1.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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