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Stats as of

TheStubbornProphet

thestubbornprophet

-$23
Tracked Trades
101
First Seen
Apr 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026

TheStubbornProphet is a Kalshi trader with 101 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, -$23 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? on Oct 8.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$20.8K
Typical trade
$13
Avg entry
16¢
Kalshi rank
#3,941

Profit over time

+$455-$127
Apr 25Jul 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢429%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3529%67%+38 pts
40 to 60¢2053%100%+47 pts
60 to 80¢373%0%-73 pts
Over 80¢185%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $32617%-$6
$3 to $13250%-$35
$14 to $592533%+$351
$61 to $4.5K2520%-$333

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections6412%-$461
Entertainment120%-$9
MMA2100%+$105
Companies3+$0
NBA2100%+$348
US politics8+$0

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied TheStubbornProphet

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 6 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $17.4K

The markets TheStubbornProphet is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what TheStubbornProphet is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
Jul 12, 2 fills
Yes48¢sold 85¢$96+$105
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 Home Run Derby?
Jul 12
Yes11¢$5-$5
Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?
Jul 5, 7 fills
Sold Nosold 57¢$75Exited
See every position across 25 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $57 on Yes at 14¢, May 12
    +$348
  2. 2
    Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-4?
    $48 on Yes at 29¢, Apr 25
    +$117
  3. 3
    Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
    $96 on Yes at 48¢, Jul 12
    +$105
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?35¢3+$0
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027?9¢9+$0
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-RR17¢2+$0
Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?8¢140%-$482
Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon Mega Gengar ex (284/217 SIR) ASC on Collectr be above $1423.02 on May 31, 2026?27¢6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$117
May 2026-$239
Jul 2026+$100

Kalshi leaderboards

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