Stats as of
thick.deck
+$2.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 821
- First Seen
- Feb 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Cricket
- 45% won · 541 settled · +$3.5K
thick.deck is a Kalshi trader with 821 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 254 wins and 382 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Yash Chaurasia wins on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $36.7K
- Typical trade
- $11
- Avg entry
- 20¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,474
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$3.1K
Feb 9Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢25710%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢21430%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢17149%68%+19 pts
60 to 80¢6269%54%-14 pts
Over 80¢11789%98%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $120644%-$4
$1 to $1120549%+$299
$11 to $4720528%-$1.0K
$47 to $1.1K20539%+$3.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Cricket64846%+$3.6K
Tennis1139%-$1.2K
NBA1617%-$161
Basketball2731%+$109
NFL8100%+$267
WNBA10%-$141
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied thick.deck
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$9275
Profit
on $46500 staked
221-244
Record
48% win rate
+20%
Return
50 still open
+$9.3K-$300
Aug 17Oct 12
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
70% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.38×
Profit factor
$33.7K won vs $24.4K lost
+6.3 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 37
- Deepest drawdown
- 73 trades
By category
sports464 settled+20%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $572
The markets thick.deck is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Yash Chaurasia wins
Oct 15, 6 fills
Marin Cilic wins
Oct 15
Marin Cilic wins
Oct 15, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9KAustralia Champions wins$390 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 11
- 2+$2.2KBangladesh Champions wins$220 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 11
- 3+$1.9KWest Indies wins$258 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Australia Champions wins12¢29100%+$2.9K
West Indies wins15¢2123%+$1.8K
India Champions wins19¢440%-$676
Atlanta Fire wins73¢97100%+$611
Whitney Osuigwe wins31¢230%-$472
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$788
Mar 2026+$321
Apr 2026-$1.3K
May 2026-$939
Jul 2026-$30
Aug 2026-$141
Oct 2026+$5.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies thick.deck.
Bring thick.deck into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.