Stats as of
tight.soap
+$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Sep 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 40% won · 10 settled · +$732
tight.soap is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 153 wins and 139 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dallas wins on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $68.8K
- Typical trade
- $31
- Avg entry
- 44¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,149
Profit over time
+$3.0K-$2.0K
Sep 10Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢407%13%+6 pts
20 to 40¢13732%36%+4 pts
40 to 60¢67150%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢13664%54%-10 pts
Over 80¢1794%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625156%+$75
$6 to $3125049%-$3
$31 to $9625052%+$282
$97 to $1.4K25052%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball58557%+$947
NFL22048%+$93
WNBA1170%-$97
MMA2440%+$732
College football1550%-$387
Hockey5100%+$1.6K
Side taken
Yes 61%39% No
If you had copied tight.soap
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$22072
Profit
on $29200 staked
153-139
Record
52% win rate
+76%
Return
161 still open
+$22.6K-$546
Sep 7Oct 12
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
9% below peak
10.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.59×
Profit factor
$36.0K won vs $13.9K lost
+5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 47 trades
By category
sports291 settled+75%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
79 open positions worth $14.1K
The markets tight.soap is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNHLGAME-26OCT14DALCOL-DAL
Oct 15, 2 fills
Evan Engram: 25+ receiving yards
Oct 13
AJ Barner: 3+ receptions
Oct 13, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KKXNHLGAME-26OCT14DALCOL-DAL$1.4K on Yes at 46¢, Oct 13
- 2+$851Jai Herbert wins$479 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 10
- 3+$540Max Fried: 6+ strikeouts?$460 on Yes at 46¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Over 7.5 runs scored51¢17100%+$1.7K
Over 6.5 runs scored55¢1740%+$101
KXNHLGAME-26OCT14DALCOL-DAL46¢1100%+$1.6K
Over 8.5 runs scored54¢2013%-$653
Malcolm Wellmaker wins by KO/TKO/DQ?42¢110%-$961
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$352
Oct 2026+$2.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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