Stats as of
truly.ultra
+$413
- Tracked Trades
- 1,004
- First Seen
- Oct 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 5% won · 19 settled · +$172
truly.ultra is a Kalshi trader with 1,004 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 245 wins and 384 losses on settled markets, $413 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $32.2K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 21¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,014
Profit over time
+$1.1K-$1.3K
Oct 9Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2378%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢27530%20%-9 pts
40 to 60¢34648%61%+13 pts
60 to 80¢11667%45%-22 pts
Over 80¢3087%40%-47 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125136%-$8
$1 to $1025130%-$34
$10 to $4125135%-$538
$41 to $1.0K25152%+$993
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin96340%+$110
Tennis205%+$172
NFL567%+$293
Parlays130%-$135
College football30%-$27
Side taken
Yes 48%52% No
If you had copied truly.ultra
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$6048
Profit
on $62900 staked
245-384
Record
39% win rate
-10%
Return
7 still open
+$0-$6.0K
Oct 5Oct 12
-$9.9K
Max drawdown
291% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$32.4K won vs $38.4K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 40¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 25
- Deepest drawdown
- 464 trades
By category
crypto596 settled-6%
sports31 settled-72%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
7 open positions worth $82
The markets truly.ultra is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 14
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 14
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$687BTC price up in next 15 mins?$666 on No at 49¢, Oct 13
- 2+$597BTC price up in next 15 mins?$597 on No at 50¢, Oct 14
- 3+$552BTC price up in next 15 mins?$384 on Yes at 41¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43¢95241%+$246
Bitcoin price on Oct 9, 2026?61¢50%-$123
Rafael Jodar wins29¢2100%+$285
Baltimore wins36¢1100%+$228
Ryan Nijboer wins46¢180%-$112
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$413
Kalshi leaderboards
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