Stats as of
unexpected.earthworm9868
+$2.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 108
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 11% won · 28 settled · +$2.9K
unexpected.earthworm9868 is a Kalshi trader with 108 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Argentina + Colombia + Mexico + USA on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +60%
- Money traded
- $30.0K
- Typical trade
- $37
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,981
Profit over time
+$4.5K-$901
Jun 28Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢913%8%+5 pts
20 to 40¢627%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢343%100%+57 pts
60 to 80¢364%
Over 80¢592%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$3 to $23270%-$65
$23 to $37270%-$167
$37 to $93270%-$568
$94 to $7.7K2725%+$3.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays9811%+$2.9K
Soccer100%-$101
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied unexpected.earthworm9868
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$716
Profit
on $2600 staked
3-23
Record
12% win rate
-28%
Return
59 still open
+$0-$716
Jul 20Oct 5
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.69×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $2.3K lost
+5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 6¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 10 trades
By category
sports17 settled+11%
other9 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
58 open positions worth $2.9K
The markets unexpected.earthworm9868 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Argentina + Colombia + Mexico + USA
Oct 6
yes Aruba,yes Haiti,yes Guyana,yes Dominican Republic,yes Puerto Rico,yes Turks and Caicos Islands,yes Curacao
Oct 4
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.2Kyes Antigua and Barbuda,yes Puerto Rico,yes Curacao,yes Guyana,yes Haiti,yes Montserrat,yes Costa Rica,yes Saint-Martin$330 on Yes at 13¢, Oct 1
- 2+$2.1Kyes France,yes England,yes Spain,yes Switzerland,yes Albania,yes Slovakia$282 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 27
- 3+$1.5Kyes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$1.0K on Yes at 40¢, Oct 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points40¢6100%+$1.5K
yes Argentina,yes Canada,yes Ivory Coast,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes USA,yes Fiji10¢20%-$207
yes Argentina,yes Canada,yes Ivory Coast,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes Mexico,yes Senegal9¢20%-$141
Parlay: Argentina + Colombia + Mexico + USA23¢10%-$693
yes Aruba,yes Haiti,yes Guyana,yes Dominican Republic,yes Puerto Rico,yes Turks and Caicos Islands,yes Curacao9¢10%-$470
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$15
Jul 2026-$140
Sep 2026+$945
Oct 2026+$2.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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