rivomarkets

Stats as of

unlikely.puffin3048

+$3.3K
Tracked Trades
948
First Seen
Apr 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 6, 2026
Best In NBA
46% won · 97 settled · +$1.8K

unlikely.puffin3048 is a Kalshi trader with 948 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 313 wins and 344 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dakotah Bobo wins on Oct 6.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$73.9K
Typical trade
$10
Avg entry
52¢
Kalshi rank
#1,779

Profit over time

+$4.8K-$61
Apr 24Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1899%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢20829%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢20649%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢14868%76%+7 pts
Over 80¢19789%94%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $323731%+$22
$3 to $1023744%-$75
$10 to $4523754%+$287
$45 to $2.0K23765%+$3.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis67251%+$1.5K
NBA13046%+$1.8K
Hockey978%+$658
Parlays662%-$1.2K
MMA1859%+$613
NFL1542%-$81

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied unlikely.puffin3048

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$765
Profit
on $25900 staked
128-131
Record
49% win rate
+3%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time259 settled trades
+$3.0K-$8
Sep 7Oct 5
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
116% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$13.9K won vs $13.1K lost
+4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
138 trades

By category

sports258 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $10

The markets unlikely.puffin3048 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what unlikely.puffin3048 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dakotah Bobo wins
Oct 6
Sold Nosold 93¢$657Exited
Pierre Antoine Tailleu wins
Oct 6
Sold Nosold 82¢$738Exited
Pierre Antoine Tailleu wins
Oct 6
Yes32¢$506-$506
See every position across 308 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 4: Denver at Minnesota Winner?
    $1.3K on Yes at 42¢, Apr 26
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Game 1: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner?
    $342 on Yes at 21¢, May 5
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    Game 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner?
    $382 on Yes at 31¢, Apr 25
    +$839
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Game 4: Denver at Minnesota Winner?47¢1188%+$1.4K
Will Michele Mecarelli win the Dhamne vs Mecarelli: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 match?89¢39100%+$239
Lorenzo Giustino wins93¢40%-$1.7K
Felix Balshaw wins59¢433%-$1.4K
Nicolas Ifi wins79¢4100%+$591

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 9Oct 6

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$513
May 2026+$1.6K
Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026-$527

Kalshi leaderboards

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