Stats as of
water.gate
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 380
- First Seen
- Sep 28, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In US politics
- 38% won · 24 settled · +$499
water.gate is a Kalshi trader with 380 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 31 wins and 42 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles D wins on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +44%
- Money traded
- $31.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,851
Profit over time
+$1.3K+$0
Sep 28Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11510%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢6233%46%+13 pts
40 to 60¢7448%64%+17 pts
60 to 80¢4468%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢8587%57%-30 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $29520%-$13
$2 to $99543%-$18
$9 to $299541%+$32
$30 to $8.6K9573%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US politics16445%+$548
US elections35100%+$710
Mentions15036%+$10
Baseball1233%-$51
Soccer1044%+$99
NFL733%-$35
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied water.gate
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$223
Profit
on $900 staked
4-5
Record
44% win rate
-25%
Return
1 still open
+$0-$223
Jul 13Oct 5
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.
By category
sports9 settled-25%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $127
The markets water.gate is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 5, 2 fills
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 5, 2 fills
KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$771Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days?$494 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 20
- 2+$710Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?$630 on Yes at 47¢, Jan 3
- 3+$105Will the federal government shut down for more than 46 days?$702 on No at 87¢, Nov 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Donald Trump out before 2027?15¢62+$0
Who will win the next presidential election?3¢27+$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump Administration this year?14¢160%-$288
Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?47¢7100%+$710
Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days?39¢12100%+$771
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Sep 2025+$54
Oct 2025+$445
Nov 2025+$11
Jan 2026+$710
Feb 2026-$26
Jul 2026+$99
Oct 2026-$25
Kalshi leaderboards
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