Stats as of
youngest.magpie
-$478
- Tracked Trades
- 171
- First Seen
- Nov 2, 2024
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 52% won · 31 settled · +$191
youngest.magpie is a Kalshi trader with 171 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 25 wins and 49 losses on settled markets, -$478 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DA5F1EBD40A-49EA139D28E on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 34%
- Return on settled
- -20%
- Money traded
- $6.7K
- Typical trade
- $24
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,222
Profit over time
+$0-$697
Nov 2Oct 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢509%20%+11 pts
20 to 40¢4930%18%-12 pts
40 to 60¢5550%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1564%0%-64 pts
Over 80¢282%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $144317%+$53
$14 to $244335%+$21
$25 to $384345%+$12
$39 to $1.4K4230%-$564
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4318%-$61
NFL3852%+$191
US politics180%-$51
Baseball60%-$22
Soccer1122%-$182
NBA1860%+$110
Side taken
Yes 68%32% No
If you had copied youngest.magpie
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$749
Profit
on $3700 staked
17-20
Record
46% win rate
+20%
Return
20 still open
+$1.4K-$100
Jul 13Oct 5
-$785
Max drawdown
51% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.37×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $2.0K lost
+5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 20 trades
By category
sports36 settled+24%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
20 open positions worth $529
The markets youngest.magpie is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DA5F1EBD40A-49EA139D28E
Oct 11
yes Washington,yes HOU Texans wins by over 6.5 points,no MIN Vikings wins by over 2.5 points,no Over 45.5 points,no Over 42.5 points
Oct 9
yes Houston,yes Washington,no Over 45.5 points,no Over 42.5 points
Oct 9
Biggest wins
- 1+$117Elena Rybakina wins$96 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 12
- 2+$100Boston vs Philadelphia Winner?$24 on Yes at 19¢, Nov 12
- 3+$93Christian Watson: 1st Touchdown$10 on Yes at 10¢, Sep 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DA5F1EBD40A-49EA139D28E1+$0
Will a budget reconciliation bill becomes law before Jul 5, 2025?9¢6+$0
Los Angeles D vs Toronto (Game 7) Total Runs?46¢2+$0
Will any person be charged with a crime in relation to the October 19, 2025 theft of France's Crown Jewels from the Apollo Gallery in the Louvre Museum crime before Nov 1, 2025?65¢4+$0
What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election?45¢40%-$136
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Nov 2024-$100
Oct 2025-$37
Nov 2025-$83
Dec 2025-$47
Feb 2026-$109
Jun 2026-$244
Jul 2026+$55
Aug 2026-$132
Sep 2026+$353
Oct 2026-$134
Kalshi leaderboards
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