rivomarkets

Stats as of

qmmar

0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092

+$22.4K
Tracked Trades
212
First Seen
Jun 21, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Best In Companies
98% won · 57 settled · +$26.2K

qmmar is a Polymarket trader with 212 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, $22.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? on Oct 8.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+30%
Money traded
$184.4K
Typical trade
$361
Avg entry
54¢
Polymarket rank
#774

Profit over time

+$25.6K-$698
Jun 21Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4210%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢926%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢1454%70%+16 pts
60 to 80¢9470%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢5389%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1005366%+$11
$100 to $3545388%+$1.1K
$368 to $1.0K5391%+$3.0K
$1.0K to $11K5395%+$18.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies10092%+$25.5K
Tech and AI7686%-$2.1K
Weather10+$0
World politics1013%-$1.1K
Bitcoin767%+$66
US elections3100%+$45

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied qmmar

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$421
Profit
on $3000 staked
26-4
Record
87% win rate
+14%
Return
29 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$452+$0
Aug 3Oct 5
-$200
Max drawdown
36% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.05×
Profit factor
$821 won vs $400 lost
+17.4 pts
Edge vs implied
87% won at 69¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
2 trades

By category

culture28 settled+17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $20.7K

The markets qmmar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what qmmar is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Oct 7, 37 fills
Yes75¢sold 75¢$8.5K+$2.9K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Oct 4, 21 fills
Yes80¢sold 14¢$22.8KExited
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes7¢sold 6¢$30-$30
See every position across 32 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
    $38.8K on Yes at 65¢, Nov 16
    +$20.5K
  2. 2
    Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
    $9.0K on Yes at 74¢, Nov 6
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
    $8.5K on Yes at 75¢, Oct 7
    +$2.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?65¢36100%+$20.5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?80¢21+$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?75¢37100%+$2.9K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?71¢5+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?74¢6100%+$3.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Jun 2025-$698
Jul 2025+$66
Oct 2025+$45
Nov 2025+$26.2K
Dec 2025-$5.7K
Feb 2026-$334
Mar 2026-$86
Jun 2026-$48
Aug 2026+$32
Sep 2026+$2.2K
Oct 2026+$756

How they build positions

Trimmed a position74%
Added to a position16%
Closed a position11%

Polymarket leaderboards

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