Stats as of
0x1861…408d
0x18617ddf82e34b96963a9afc8fdae202dd88408d
+$472
- Tracked Trades
- 199
- First Seen
- Nov 5, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 83% won · 12 settled · +$2.1K
0x1861…408d is a Polymarket trader with 199 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 123 wins and 62 losses on settled markets, $472 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 66%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $27.6K
- Typical trade
- $16
- Avg entry
- 56¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,258
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$2.8K
Nov 5Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢612%33%+21 pts
20 to 40¢2730%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢6449%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢7168%90%+22 pts
Over 80¢3187%93%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $75051%-$10
$7 to $165062%+$96
$16 to $595079%+$238
$68 to $1.7K4972%+$148
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis16168%-$1.5K
MMA1483%+$2.1K
Soccer1753%-$282
NBA2100%+$301
Hockey50%-$133
Side taken
Yes 8%92% No
If you had copied 0x1861…408d
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2125
Profit
on $10800 staked
75-33
Record
69% win rate
+20%
Return
7 still open
+$2.4K-$330
Jul 20Oct 12
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
39% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.64×
Profit factor
$5.4K won vs $3.3K lost
+11.8 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 58¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 19 trades
By category
sports108 settled+20%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur
Oct 14
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik
Oct 13
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3KUFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$1.7K on Joshua Van at 58¢, Sep 20
- 2+$1.0KUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova$2.6K on Aryna Sabalenka at 72¢, Sep 8
- 3+$523US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina$1.4K on Elena Rybakina at 73¢, Sep 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova49¢633%-$155
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina40¢333%-$673
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton42¢20%-$2.3K
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng79¢30%-$2.1K
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)58¢1100%+$1.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Nov 2025+$391
Dec 2025-$466
Jan 2026+$6
May 2026+$407
Jun 2026-$53
Jul 2026-$93
Aug 2026+$1.5K
Sep 2026-$2.8K
Oct 2026+$1.6K
Polymarket leaderboards
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