Stats as of
PolymarketHotChili
0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598
+$13.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 43
- First Seen
- Aug 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In Esports
- 82% won · 11 settled · +$15.7K
HotChili is a Polymarket trader with 43 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $13.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Spread: Bears (-3.5) on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 70%
- Return on settled
- +26%
- Money traded
- $105.3K
- Typical trade
- $1.6K
- Avg entry
- 53¢
- Polymarket rank
- #1,224
Profit over time
+$17.0K-$1.4K
Aug 23Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢112%
20 to 40¢332%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢2750%71%+22 pts
60 to 80¢1069%86%+17 pts
Over 80¢293%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6701157%+$130
$690 to $1.6K1175%+$649
$1.8K to $3.1K1186%+$9.2K
$3.1K to $14K1060%+$3.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Esports1882%+$15.7K
NFL1656%-$558
Fed and rates40%-$4.5K
Baseball4100%+$2.6K
Soccer1+$0
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied HotChili
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$582
Profit
on $2300 staked
16-7
Record
70% win rate
+25%
Return
+$582+$0
Aug 17Oct 5
-$200
Max drawdown
59% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.83×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $700 lost
+14.7 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 55¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 2 trades
By category
sports22 settled+31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Oct 11, 2 fills
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
Oct 11, 2 fills
Spread: Commanders (-2.5)
Oct 11, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$7.3KCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$7.6K on Spirit at 51¢, Oct 9
- 2+$7.0KDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs$15.6K on Team Spirit at 69¢, Aug 23
- 3+$4.7KCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.7K on MOUZ at 44¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs62¢983%+$5.6K
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner51¢3100%+$7.3K
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 46.552¢4100%+$4.3K
Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.547¢20%-$4.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51¢40%-$4.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$5.6K
Sep 2026-$1.9K
Oct 2026+$9.5K
How they build positions
Closed a position62%
Opened a new position27%
Trimmed a position12%
Polymarket leaderboards
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