rivomarkets

Stats as of

Polymarket

0xf27dc

0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c

+$2.0K
Tracked Trades
1,009
First Seen
Apr 22, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
49% won · 47 settled · +$2.8K

0xf27dc is a Polymarket trader with 1,009 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election? on Oct 9.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+15%
Money traded
$85.5K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
38¢
Polymarket rank
#7,148

Profit over time

+$2.9K-$840
Apr 22Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3938%13%+6 pts
20 to 40¢10031%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢10947%43%-4 pts
60 to 80¢15272%61%-11 pts
Over 80¢25591%76%-14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225327%+$8
$2 to $1525225%-$95
$15 to $7825239%-$423
$78 to $10K25266%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections61931%-$526
Fed and rates13549%+$2.8K
World politics10048%-$209
US politics4575%-$53
Other politics52100%+$45
Other crypto15+$0

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied 0xf27dc

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$274
Profit
on $3300 staked
20-13
Record
61% win rate
+8%
Return
215 still open
Profit over time33 settled trades
+$629+$0
Jul 20Oct 5
-$500
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.21×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $1.3K lost
+5.0 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
5 trades

By category

politics33 settled+8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

57 open positions worth $10.5K

The markets 0xf27dc is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0xf27dc is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election?
Oct 8
Sold Yessold 0¢$1Exited
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 40% or more?
Oct 8
Sold Yessold 0¢$1Exited
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 35%-40%?
Oct 8, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 3¢$2Exited
See every position across 256 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
    $1.5K on Yes at 28¢, Feb 3
    +$3.8K
  2. 2
    Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
    $1.3K on Yes at 61¢, May 19
    +$833
  3. 3
    Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
    $302 on Yes at 28¢, Jul 22
    +$778
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?28¢28100%+$3.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?61¢23+$0
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?75¢15+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?63¢4+$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?76¢6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$1.5K
Dec 2025-$485
Jan 2026+$1.6K
Feb 2026-$182
Mar 2026+$46
Apr 2026-$127
May 2026-$14
Jun 2026-$255
Jul 2026+$52
Aug 2026+$105
Sep 2026-$24
Oct 2026+$10

How they build positions

Closed a position50%
Trimmed a position50%

Polymarket leaderboards

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