Stats as of
Polymarket-GUYFAWKES-
0x3b0cfea5606f2c44fa1b83f274914b3e48d66515
+$954
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Sep 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 1, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 59% won · 493 settled · +$974
-GUYFAWKES- is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 395 wins and 260 losses on settled markets, $954 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET on Oct 1.
- Win rate
- 60%
- Return on settled
- +29%
- Money traded
- $4.9K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Avg entry
- 32¢
- Polymarket rank
- #6,958
Profit over time
+$1.4K-$59
Sep 25Oct 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13710%23%+14 pts
20 to 40¢17729%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢23751%66%+14 pts
60 to 80¢23669%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢21390%96%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125061%+$71
$1 to $125065%+$21
$1 to $525049%-$0
$5 to $7225061%+$863
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin49559%+$974
Weather40163%-$18
Esports10061%-$22
Soccer4100%+$21
Side taken
Yes 12%88% No
If you had copied -GUYFAWKES-
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$13442
Profit
on $65500 staked
395-260
Record
60% win rate
+21%
Return
2 still open
+$13.4K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$5.8K
Max drawdown
543% below peak
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.52×
Profit factor
$39.4K won vs $26.0K lost
+8.2 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 234 trades
By category
crypto493 settled+29%
sports63 settled+9%
culture99 settled-17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Oct 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Oct 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Oct 1, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3KBitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$441 on Down at 25¢, Oct 1
- 2+$154Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$88 on Down at 36¢, Sep 30
- 3+$70Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$217 on Down at 76¢, Oct 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET31¢1741%-$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET18¢1894%+$1.3K
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs mellren (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs57¢5100%+$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET40¢333%-$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET35¢30%-$120
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 4Oct 1
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$200
Oct 2026+$754
Polymarket leaderboards
Similar Polymarket traders
Build a bot that copies -GUYFAWKES-.
Bring -GUYFAWKES- into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.