Stats as of
PolymarketErwinKiptoo
0x450b44b4cac928befa2f6a208358b015dbd0e0bd
+$450
- Tracked Trades
- 176
- First Seen
- Oct 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 42% won · 67 settled · +$409
ErwinKiptoo is a Polymarket trader with 176 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $450 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $46.9K
- Typical trade
- $192
- Avg entry
- 41¢
- Polymarket rank
- #2,267
Profit over time
+$1.8K-$2.2K
Oct 11Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1313%9%-4 pts
20 to 40¢4131%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢4549%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢3069%58%-10 pts
Over 80¢4797%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$5 to $1004444%-$204
$101 to $1924436%-$707
$192 to $3204456%-$160
$327 to $2.4K4446%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer9242%+$409
Bitcoin8450%+$40
Side taken
Yes 15%85% No
If you had copied ErwinKiptoo
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$795
Profit
on $12100 staked
55-66
Record
45% win rate
-7%
Return
+$83-$795
Oct 5Oct 12
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
383% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $6.6K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 79 trades
By category
sports67 settled-4%
crypto54 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Oct 15, 2 fills
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Oct 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Oct 14, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9KCA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5$1.9K on Under at 39¢, Oct 12
- 2+$1.2KBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$192 on Up at 14¢, Oct 14
- 3+$1.1KWill HUS Agadir vs. AS FAR end in a draw?$1.4K on Yes at 55¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.539¢5100%+$2.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET2+$0
Will HUS Agadir vs. AS FAR end in a draw?55¢3100%+$1.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET14¢2100%+$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET39¢30%-$313
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$450
How they build positions
Closed a position88%
Trimmed a position13%
Polymarket leaderboards
Similar Polymarket traders
Build a bot that copies ErwinKiptoo.
Bring ErwinKiptoo into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.