rivomarkets

Stats as of

SebastianAde1996

0x4b4071d1456249cd8d7272d533a3efe191aa2f6a

-$29.6K
Tracked Trades
114
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Soccer
48% won · 120 settled · +$86.8K

SebastianAde1996 is a Polymarket trader with 114 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 60 losses on settled markets, -$29.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? on Oct 12.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$276.4K
Typical trade
$1.4K
Avg entry
50¢
Polymarket rank
#299

Profit over time

+$27.8K-$43.7K
Aug 22Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢10451%47%-4 pts
60 to 80¢1064%50%-14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $8002962%+$4.8K
$800 to $1.4K2945%-$5.9K
$1.4K to $2.7K2836%-$20.2K
$2.7K to $20K2846%-$8.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer11447%-$29.6K

Side taken

Yes 8%92% No

If you had copied SebastianAde1996

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$866
Profit
on $11400 staked
54-60
Record
47% win rate
-8%
Return
Profit over time114 settled trades
+$1.0K-$931
Aug 17Oct 12
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
176% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$5.1K won vs $6.0K lost
-4.7 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
79 trades

By category

sports113 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?
Oct 12, 2 fills
Yes48¢$40.0K-$40.0K
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
Oct 12, 2 fills
Over43¢$30.0K+$39.8K
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11?
Oct 11, 2 fills
Yes49¢$13.7K+$14.3K
See every position across 46 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
    $30.0K on Over at 43¢, Oct 12
    +$39.8K
  2. 2
    Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11?
    $13.7K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 11
    +$14.3K
  3. 3
    Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
    $11.7K on Under at 51¢, Sep 6
    +$11.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?48¢20%-$40.0K
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.543¢2100%+$39.8K
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11?49¢2100%+$14.3K
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners53¢100%-$12.6K
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 4.5 Corners51¢50%-$12.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$34.8K
Sep 2026-$1.7K
Oct 2026+$6.8K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

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