rivomarkets

Stats as of

efflo-polka

0x4dd5db407792f54d7d600f06255fc2ed4b4541dc

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
66
First Seen
Sep 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In World politics
42% won · 48 settled · +$1.4K

efflo-polka is a Polymarket trader with 66 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? on Oct 9.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$20.5K
Typical trade
$32
Avg entry
52¢
Polymarket rank
#6,670

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$23
Sep 22Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢296%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢1130%78%+48 pts
40 to 60¢252%
60 to 80¢376%0%-76 pts
Over 80¢2192%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $81714%-$32
$12 to $33170%-$256
$47 to $2731680%+$1.9K
$328 to $2.3K1683%-$231

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics5642%+$1.4K
US elections9+$0
Economic data10%-$1

Side taken

Yes 26%74% No

If you had copied efflo-polka

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$999
Profit
on $4900 staked
20-29
Record
41% win rate
-20%
Return
17 still open
Profit over time49 settled trades
+$806-$999
Sep 21Oct 5
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
201% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $2.9K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 38¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

politics48 settled-19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $7.8K

The markets efflo-polka is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what efflo-polka is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Oct 4, 6 fills
No94¢$4.2K+$287
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Oct 3, 7 fills
No2¢$84-$84
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Oct 3, 9 fills
No3¢$133-$133
See every position across 22 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1.0K on No at 26¢, Sep 29
    +$2.9K
  2. 2
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
    $5.4K on No at 95¢, Sep 29
    +$288
  3. 3
    Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
    $4.2K on No at 94¢, Oct 4
    +$287
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?95¢7100%+$288
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?83¢2+$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?94¢6100%+$287
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?52¢2+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?74¢30%-$1.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026+$37

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