Stats as of
ProsperIntelligence
0x514bed69dd15b0aa7183f985bdce50681a026931
+$882
- Tracked Trades
- 1,021
- First Seen
- Jul 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Other politics
- 39% won · 889 settled · +$882
ProsperIntelligence is a Polymarket trader with 1,021 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 343 wins and 546 losses on settled markets, $882 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $71.4K
- Typical trade
- $23
- Avg entry
- 37¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,185
Profit over time
+$4.1K-$457
Jul 26Oct 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢39913%22%+9 pts
20 to 40¢24326%17%-9 pts
40 to 60¢4949%86%+36 pts
60 to 80¢28674%68%-6 pts
Over 80¢4489%92%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $825624%-$28
$8 to $2325535%+$1.2K
$23 to $5025545%+$356
$50 to $1.5K25555%-$619
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Other politics102139%+$882
Side taken
Yes 68%32% No
If you had copied ProsperIntelligence
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$9704
Profit
on $88900 staked
343-546
Record
39% win rate
+11%
Return
+$14.2K+$0
Jul 20Sep 28
-$9.4K
Max drawdown
60% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$64.3K won vs $54.6K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 317 trades
By category
politics875 settled+11%
culture14 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Oct 13, 2 fills
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Oct 1, 8 fills
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Oct 1, 8 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$163 on Yes at 9¢, Aug 14
- 2+$1.5KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?$290 on Yes at 16¢, Aug 30
- 3+$842Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?$179 on Yes at 18¢, Aug 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?81¢1163%+$361
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?82¢1438%+$445
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?87¢533%-$2.9K
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?2+$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?42¢1950%+$628
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$933
Aug 2026+$2.7K
Sep 2026-$2.8K
Oct 2026+$89
How they build positions
Closed a position60%
Trimmed a position40%
Polymarket leaderboards
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