rivomarkets

Stats as of

Cranitam

0x550c4740a7308be9af77efff003dcccfc43a1e1a

+$76
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In Weather
79% won · 14 settled · +$156

Cranitam is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 429 wins and 382 losses on settled markets, $76 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET on Oct 10.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$2.9K
Typical trade
$2
Avg entry
41¢
Polymarket rank
#3,333

Profit over time

+$277-$12
Sep 8Oct 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7013%15%+2 pts
20 to 40¢21531%31%-1 pts
40 to 60¢35150%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢22668%68%+0 pts
Over 80¢13892%94%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125067%+$7
$1 to $225040%+$9
$2 to $325047%-$24
$3 to $26025062%+$84

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin96153%+$130
Weather2679%+$156
US politics30%-$60
Tech and AI30%-$100
Mentions20%-$45
Other politics525%-$5

Side taken

Yes 1%99% No

If you had copied Cranitam

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3701
Profit
on $81100 staked
429-382
Record
53% win rate
+5%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time811 settled trades
+$4.4K+$0
Sep 7Oct 5
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
122% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.10×
Profit factor
$41.9K won vs $38.2K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
308 trades

By category

crypto787 settled+5%
culture18 settled+1%
politics6 settled-80%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $120

The markets Cranitam is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Cranitam is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Oct 10
Up46¢$2-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Oct 10
Up52¢$3+$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Oct 10
Up56¢$3+$2
See every position across 405 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
    $382 on No at 73¢, Sep 30
    +$142
  2. 2
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
    $21 on Down at 26¢, Sep 10
    +$59
  3. 3
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
    $13 on Down at 19¢, Sep 10
    +$55
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?73¢6100%+$142
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?87¢2100%+$10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?49¢1+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET26¢8100%+$59
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?70¢10%-$50

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$249
Oct 2026-$173

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