Stats as of
PolymarketOrioncast
0x552d04a7105808a39698f986d636f05d8ccc7d49
+$11.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 24
- First Seen
- Aug 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In Fed and rates
- 92% won · 12 settled · +$8.1K
Orioncast is a Polymarket trader with 24 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $11.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 87%
- Return on settled
- +40%
- Money traded
- $71.2K
- Typical trade
- $1.3K
- Avg entry
- 56¢
- Polymarket rank
- #1,204
Profit over time
+$12.5K-$5.9K
Aug 25Sep 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢312%
20 to 40¢130%100%+70 pts
40 to 60¢651%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢1165%75%+10 pts
Over 80¢390%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$543 to $7116100%+$2.3K
$711 to $1.1K6100%+$1.3K
$1.5K to $3.1K675%+$7.1K
$3.2K to $15K675%+$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates2092%+$8.1K
Entertainment250%+$2.9K
Tech and AI1+$0
World politics1100%+$823
Side taken
Yes 96%4% No
If you had copied Orioncast
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$944
Profit
on $1500 staked
13-2
Record
87% win rate
+63%
Return
+$944+$0
Aug 24Sep 7
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 15 so far.
By category
finance12 settled+55%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Oct 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 16, 2 fills
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 16, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.0KFed rate hike in 2026?$14.1K on Yes at 61¢, Aug 30
- 2+$5.0KFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$5.7K on Yes at 53¢, Aug 28
- 3+$4.4KWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?$1.9K on Yes at 30¢, Sep 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Fed rate hike in 2026?61¢9100%+$9.0K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?67¢30%-$5.9K
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?53¢6100%+$5.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?2+$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?30¢1100%+$4.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$8.1K
Sep 2026+$3.8K
How they build positions
Trimmed a position33%
Closed a position27%
Added to a position20%
Opened a new position20%
Similar Polymarket traders
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