rivomarkets

Stats as of

Mrage

0x6f46821c6f3f395725e59009c19f1183d6181bba

+$9.4K
Tracked Trades
457
First Seen
Sep 8, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Weather
43% won · 61 settled · +$4.5K

Mrage is a Polymarket trader with 457 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 70 wins and 98 losses on settled markets, $9.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Oct 14.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$91.3K
Typical trade
$47
Avg entry
30¢
Polymarket rank
#1,461

Profit over time

+$10.6K-$2.3K
Sep 8Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1768%29%+21 pts
20 to 40¢11229%30%+2 pts
40 to 60¢6850%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢5371%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢4892%94%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1411543%+$378
$14 to $4711433%+$2.2K
$47 to $14011437%+$3.4K
$141 to $10K11453%+$3.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather26043%+$4.1K
US elections2515%-$687
World politics1725%+$1.5K
Economic data350%+$4.7K
US politics10852%-$202
Other politics3560%+$1.4K

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied Mrage

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$500
Profit
on $500 staked
0-5
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$0-$500
Aug 24Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $10.0K

The markets Mrage is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Mrage is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
Sep 16
Yes29¢$435-$435
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?
Sep 9
Yes35¢$9-$9
Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?
Aug 31
Yes19¢$19-$19
See every position across 216 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
    $5.3K on No at 53¢, Apr 17
    +$4.7K
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?
    $1.2K on Yes at 30¢, Dec 17
    +$2.8K
  3. 3
    US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
    $176 on No at 8¢, Apr 21
    +$2.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?53¢2100%+$4.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢1+$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?1+$0
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?13¢850%+$1.8K
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?52¢2100%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Oct 2024-$755
Nov 2024+$180
Sep 2025+$1.1K
Oct 2025+$1.0K
Nov 2025+$906
Dec 2025+$2.8K
Jan 2026-$474
Feb 2026-$1
Mar 2026-$219
Apr 2026+$5.5K
Aug 2026-$91
Sep 2026-$444

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

Similar Polymarket traders

Build a bot that copies Mrage.

Bring Mrage into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.