Stats as of
PolymarketWin-OR-Lun
0x9b6d864a40941a0d0e7d6c979421004e7e895b1d
+$2.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 272
- First Seen
- Feb 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 46% won · 52 settled · +$2.4K
Win-OR-Lun is a Polymarket trader with 272 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 52 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $55.2K
- Typical trade
- $100
- Avg entry
- 48¢
- Polymarket rank
- #1,733
Profit over time
+$7.3K+$0
Aug 22Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1710%
20 to 40¢3731%38%+6 pts
40 to 60¢13850%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢3668%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢4497%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $506829%-$109
$51 to $1006860%+$600
$100 to $2006829%-$1.1K
$200 to $2.0K6861%+$2.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball7346%+$2.4K
WNBA5461%+$1.7K
NFL3556%+$1.5K
Cricket33100%+$30
Hockey60%-$4.2K
MMA3+$0
Side taken
Yes 3%97% No
If you had copied Win-OR-Lun
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$88
Profit
on $11400 staked
62-52
Record
54% win rate
+1%
Return
37 still open
+$202-$983
Aug 10Sep 28
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
423% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $5.2K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 87 trades
By category
sports114 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
15 open positions worth $5.4K
The markets Win-OR-Lun is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
Oct 3, 2 fills
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
Oct 2, 2 fills
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 36.5
Oct 2, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.0KCowboys vs. Giants$1.9K on Giants at 39¢, Sep 14
- 2+$2.8KBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5$2.8K on Under at 50¢, Aug 29
- 3+$982Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5$1.1K on Under at 53¢, Aug 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.582¢2100%+$441
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.546¢20%-$3.9K
Cowboys vs. Giants39¢4100%+$3.0K
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.549¢560%+$2.7K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves69¢3100%+$566
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$2.7K
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$2.0K
How they build positions
Closed a position100%
Polymarket leaderboards
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