rivomarkets

Stats as of

notlosecrypto

0xa83a50bd49987854225384e3df1efbc276681e64

+$201
Tracked Trades
47
First Seen
Jul 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
61% won · 18 settled · +$1.8K

notlosecrypto is a Polymarket trader with 47 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 13 losses on settled markets, $201 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? on Sep 28.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$23.3K
Typical trade
$300
Avg entry
10¢
Polymarket rank
#7,282

Profit over time

+$742-$4.0K
Jul 24Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢129%17%+7 pts
20 to 40¢327%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢948%57%+9 pts
60 to 80¢1172%50%-22 pts
Over 80¢1292%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$5 to $1301257%-$103
$150 to $3001250%-$635
$300 to $1.0K1286%+$5.6K
$1.0K to $1.9K1138%-$4.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates2961%+$1.8K
Bitcoin467%+$54
Ethereum640%-$1.4K
Other crypto4+$0
Mentions450%-$296

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied notlosecrypto

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$163
Profit
on $3000 staked
17-13
Record
57% win rate
+5%
Return
11 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$322-$460
Jul 20Sep 28
-$712
Max drawdown
1381% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.13×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.3K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
11 trades

By category

finance18 settled+27%
crypto8 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $1.8K

The markets notlosecrypto is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what notlosecrypto is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
Sep 28, 2 fills
Yes90¢$283+$32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in September?
Sep 24
Yes83¢$243+$50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Sep 15, 4 fills
Yes17¢sold 4¢$1.0KExited
See every position across 25 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
    $380 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 6
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
    $1.1K on Yes at 42¢, Sep 6
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
    $840 on Yes at 43¢, Aug 7
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 24?85¢3100%+$354
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?43¢2100%+$1.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?76¢2100%+$329
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 24-30?73¢30%-$2.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢40%-$2.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$329
Aug 2026-$2.3K
Sep 2026+$2.2K

Polymarket leaderboards

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