rivomarkets

Stats as of

DancewithRisk

0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b

+$4.4K
Tracked Trades
205
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
75% won · 12 settled · +$4.4K

DancewithRisk is a Polymarket trader with 205 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $4.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? on Oct 9.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+40%
Money traded
$209.3K
Typical trade
$762
Avg entry
33¢
Polymarket rank
#1,844

Profit over time

+$6.3K+$0
Aug 26Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1917%
20 to 40¢6826%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢3751%67%+16 pts
60 to 80¢6570%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢1690%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$502 to $6225260%+$539
$623 to $7625180%+$932
$762 to $1.1K51+$0
$1.1K to $5.7K51100%+$3.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies150+$0
Fed and rates3175%+$4.4K
Other crypto22+$0
Parlays2+$0

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied DancewithRisk

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$342
Profit
on $1200 staked
9-3
Record
75% win rate
+29%
Return
106 still open
Profit over time12 settled trades
+$642+$0
Aug 24Oct 5

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 12 so far.

By category

finance12 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

24 open positions worth $79.5K

The markets DancewithRisk is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what DancewithRisk is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Oct 8, 16 fills
Yes61¢sold 62¢$6.8KExited
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Oct 4, 4 fills
No97¢sold 99¢$1.4KExited
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Oct 4
Sold Nosold 36¢$722Exited
See every position across 38 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
    $9.3K on Yes at 60¢, Sep 10
    +$6.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?23¢29+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?23¢20+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?71¢14+$0
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?60¢16100%+$6.3K
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?61¢16+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$4.5K
Sep 2026-$65

How they build positions

Trimmed a position86%
Closed a position11%
Opened a new position2%

Similar Polymarket traders

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