rivomarkets

Stats as of

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9

+$3.5K
Tracked Trades
30
First Seen
Aug 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026

Poligarch is a Polymarket trader with 30 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? on Oct 14.

Win rate
92%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$67.7K
Typical trade
$1.3K
Avg entry
65¢
Polymarket rank
#2,111

Profit over time

+$3.6K+$0
Aug 26Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢220%
20 to 40¢121%
60 to 80¢1374%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢1487%86%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$538 to $624883%+$283
$653 to $1.5K8100%+$347
$2.0K to $3.8K7100%+$2.9K
$4.2K to $8.5K7+$0

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates20100%+$2.9K
Weather4100%+$498
World politics250%-$461
US elections2100%+$137
Entertainment1100%+$98
Tech and AI1100%+$358

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied Poligarch

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$225
Profit
on $1200 staked
11-1
Record
92% win rate
+19%
Return
9 still open
Profit over time12 settled trades
+$241+$0
Aug 24Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 12 so far.

By category

culture6 settled+25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $37.1K

The markets Poligarch is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Poligarch is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes99¢$653+$7
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Sep 29
Yes60¢$538+$358
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Sep 22
No86¢$743+$124
See every position across 15 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $4.3K on Yes at 60¢, Sep 11
    +$2.9K
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?
    $1.2K on No at 77¢, Aug 27
    +$373
  3. 3
    Trump renames AI by September 30?
    $538 on Yes at 60¢, Sep 29
    +$358
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?82¢5+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?76¢6+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?79¢3+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60¢3100%+$2.9K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?20¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$726
Sep 2026+$2.8K
Oct 2026+$7

How they build positions

Trimmed a position53%
Opened a new position40%
Closed a position7%

Polymarket leaderboards

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