Stats as of
isaacsimonbo
0xb53da535e33d75d5f45767f884a08e37653263b1
-$111
- Tracked Trades
- 680
- First Seen
- Feb 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 30, 2026
- Best In Fed and rates
- 100% won · 102 settled · +$0
isaacsimonbo is a Polymarket trader with 680 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 592 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, -$111 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? on Sep 30.
- Win rate
- 93%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $17.0K
- Typical trade
- $21
- Avg entry
- 80¢
- Polymarket rank
- #6,904
Profit over time
+$262-$187
Feb 19Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢246%11%+5 pts
20 to 40¢1826%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢948%63%+14 pts
60 to 80¢2671%80%+9 pts
Over 80¢60397%97%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $517096%+$4
$5 to $2117086%-$107
$21 to $4317095%+$8
$43 to $15017095%-$16
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Mentions53593%-$51
Fed and rates104100%+$0
US politics2+$0
Other politics933%-$36
Economic data70%-$24
World politics23100%+$0
Side taken
Yes 42%58% No
If you had copied isaacsimonbo
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$12
Profit
on $4200 staked
41-1
Record
98% win rate
+0%
Return
1 still open
+$55+$0
Sep 14Sep 28
-$100
Max drawdown
111% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$112 won vs $100 lost
+0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
98% won at 98¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 1
- Deepest drawdown
- 1 trades
By category
culture42 settled+0%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Sep 30
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Sep 30
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$64Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?$45 on No at 41¢, Mar 31
- 2+$56Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$48 on No at 46¢, Mar 27
- 3+$21Will "National Security" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$64 on No at 75¢, Apr 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?94¢11100%+$25
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?69¢988%-$53
Will "Regulatory" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?97¢7100%+$10
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?97¢7100%+$9
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?99¢3100%+$2
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 3Sep 30
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$14
Mar 2026+$237
Apr 2026-$422
May 2026+$27
Jun 2026+$25
Sep 2026+$7
Polymarket leaderboards
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